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Burkina Faso hosts Gabon in the derby of the 2015 African Cup of Nations qualifiying Group C. Burkina Faso and Gabon are the best teams in the group and for sure will easy qualify, but this game will probably decide the first place. The team who wins will be virtually qualified and also take huge option for the first spot, so the game is very important. Burkina Faso is 1 point behind Gabon after they lost 4 days ago 2-0 against them, but now have home court advantage, always akey factor in Africa. Burkina Faso is a 1.70 odds favorite which I think is rather low … Gabon is a really good team and this match will be balanced.
Hosts have won 2-0 vs. Lesotho and 3-0 in Angola playing great football on both ends of the field, especially on defense (like usual). Losing 0-2 in Gabon was a little unexpected but it was a hard, tough game and in the end home court advantage (and Aubameyang) made the difference. Burkina Faso will be more careful at the back today … because they know if they are focused, they can keep a clean sheet vs. anybody in Africa.
Bet with the best odds on the African CAN qualifier between Burkina Faso and Gabon at Pinny.
Gabon started with a 1-0 win with Angola but followed with only a 1-1 draw in Lesotho, I think nobody would have dared to tip that Gabon will not win that. They won the game vs. Burkina Faso 2-0 thanks to their superstar Aubameyang who scored twice and made the difference. The Dortmund star will be the focal point for Gabon again … his speed can be deadly on counters but it is doubtful that Burkina Faso will allow any space at the back.
Burkina Faso is one of the most defensive teams in Africa and it’s very hard to score against them (remember 2013 Cup of Nations run to the final) … Gabon also a solid team playing good organized football, not easy to defeat. With so much at stake today it is obvious that each side will try firstly not to lose and I do not see too many goal scoring chances. Burkina Faso plays at home and will be able to set the tempo of the game … and their tempo is slop paced football with focus on defense … Gabon will be happy to concede possession, staying tight at the back and hoping for a draw that will give them an edge for the first place. Odds for under 2,5 goals are very low but for good reason. I will tip under 2 goals because I really think if somebody scores, they will preserve the result … and in case of 2 goals, we will at least not lose. Correct score prediction: Burkina Faso – Gabon 0-0.
Pick: under 2 goals
Odds: 1.87 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.96
Event date: 15 October
