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Villarreal hosts Almeria in the 8th round of the Spanish La Liga. Last match of the day in Spain. Villarreal is coming after a 3-1 win at Celta Vigo … a very impressive result which keeps Villarreal unbeaten away from home this season, but at home they struggled … 2 defeats in 3 games. However statistics are misleading, because they lost to Real Madrid and Barcelona and both times played decent matches vs. these two giants. Last home game was 4-0 vs. Apollon in Europa League.
Team news for today’s game say that Villarreal has some squad problems: Perez, Rukavina and Jojic are absent … Musacchio and Iniguez are questionable. Last season Villareal won 2-0 at home and 3-2 away against Almeria but Almeria looks like a different team this year.
Bet on Villareal – Almeria with the best La Liga odds at Sbobet.
The visitors are playing unexpectedly good … 11th place, 9 points in 7 matches and especially as the traveling team they were great: 2 wins and 1 loss away from home. Overall Almeria lost only 2 games this season (0-1 at Getafe, 0-1 vs. Atletico Madrid) and last two games were a 1-0 win at Deportivo and a 2-2 draw with Elche. Team news for Almeria say that Corona will not play and Wellington is questionable.
1.30 for a Villareal win, are you kidding me? The odds are so wrong here in my opinion that I started looking intensively if there is something really wrong with Almeria, but things look normal. The only thing is that the statistics at home for Vilarreal are misleading, because they played Barca and Real. Villareal’s win at Celta Vigo last round was lucky because Celta had many chances and almost 70% possession … Yes, Villarreal is a better team than Almeria and normally should win at home but they are not such a scary team and Almeria is having a good season … played very good on road games and can spring the surprise with a little bit of luck. Of course I can’t say that it is impossible for Villarreal to cover the handicap but the odds for them are just a joke and create value on Almeria in my opinion. My tip is Almeria +1,5 handicap. Correct score prediction: Villarreal – Almeria 2-1.
Pick: Almeria (+1,5 handicap)
Odds: 1.95 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.6
Event date: 19 October
