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Atletico Madrid hosts in the 13th round of the Spanish La Liga so without further introduction let’s get to work with the match analysis.
Atletico is coming after a big 4-0 win in Champions League over Olympiakos securing qualification in the knockout stage and maintaining an almost perfect home record … 9 wins, 1 draw in 10 matches in all competitions … also 7 wins in a row, six of them with handicap (only Juventus resisted for 0-1). In the last 4 games at home Atletico scored 16 goals and received 3, so for sure a visit to Vicente Calderon will be very scary for Deportivo La Coruna. Diego Simeone will send on the pitch the best lineup available and he has a single injury worry: defender Miranda.
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Deportivo did not win in the last 4 games but also made 3 draws … all of them 0-0. And the bad thing is that Super Depor met only opponents from the second half of the table, they needed a win in this run and did not get it. Deportivo started the season conceding a lot of goals but improved the defense, on the other hand the offensive gameplan became absolutely terrible. Visitors are on the 18th place in the relegation zone. For today Deportivo has Luis Farina unavailable. Perez and Canella have recovered after injuries but their status is uncertain.
Atletico Madrid has won the last 8 games at home against Deportivo and I do not see any reason in the analysis for the run to stop … also the last 4 wins came by handicap and the last game at Calderon finished 6-0 in 2012. History does not mean so much but it is very hard to find motives for Deportivo to be competitive today. Atletico found increadible hunger for goals in the last weeks at home and I see them to cruise to victory vs. Deportivo so my tip for the game will be Atletico to win with -3 asian handicap … a risk for sure but the odds are promising an amazing return. Expect another big home win for Atletico despite the fact that the game is coming after a Champions League outing. Correct score prediction: Atletico Madrid – Deportivo La Coruna 4-0.
Pick: Atletico Madrid (-3 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 3.70 @ Bet365
Stake: 6
Possible profit: 16.2
Event date: 30 November
