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Qarabag hosts Inter and has a historic chance to get past the group stage. The Azeri team is second with 5 points, tied with Saint Etienne and 1 point over Dnipro. Inter Milan has the first place assured. Qarabag will qualify with a win and can also qualify with a draw but only if Dnipro – Saint Etienne also finishes in a draw.
Qarabag (or Karabakh) has a very good team, resilient and with fighting spirit and did very well in this group … 2 draws with St Etienne, won vs. Dnipro in Ukraine. Vs. Inter they lost 2-0 in Italy but at home they will have a clear advantage, it is never easy to play in Azerbaijan and the fans will be crazy for sure. Hosts are first in the league and in good form at the moment. Unfortunately team news are not good for Karabakh ahead of this crucial game: they miss a couple of absolute key players including the best players on the team: Reynaldo, Danilo Dias, Chumbino, Emeghara are out.
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Inter looking really bad … lost 1-2 in the weekend against Udinese and it was their 6th match without a win from the last 7. The defense looks terrible conceding at least a goal in each of these last 7 games and Roberto Mancini has his work cut out for him. Inter played better in the Europa League against weaker opponents and is in a position to rest players … Mancini will shuffle the squad for sure. Team news for Inter say that Ranocchia, Campagnaro, D’Ambrosio, Nagatomo and Osvaldo are out.
I see a tight and rugged game … Inter is rubbish at the moment but they still have a lot of class over Qarabag and hosts will find it very hard to play without their top 3 attackers (Dias, Emeghara, Reynaldo). My tip will be a draw at half time … Inter will probably play a boring game (even if Mancini said they want the win) and Qarabag will be very careful not to fall behind (especially since they have a chance to qualify also with a draw), but will also struggle in attack without their stars. Correct score prediction: Qarabag – Inter Milan 1-1 (0-0 half time).
Pick: Half time draw
Odds: 2.05 @ Bet365
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 7.35
Event date: 11 December
