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Kayseri Erciyesspor hosts Fenerbahce in the 14th round of the Turkey Super Liga and after making a good match analysis, I am confident of betting high stakes on this one.
Erciyesspor sits only on the 13th place and is threatened by relegation but this is not a team to be taken lightly … hosts lost only 3 games out of 13 this season and never by more than 1 goal. Also they played very well with the top teams like Super Liga leaders Besiktas (3-2 win), Trabzonspor (0-0) and only lost 1-2 to Galatasaray. Kayseri is also undefeated since Uğur Tütüneker was appointed manager. Kayseri will try to play a similar game today vs. Fenerbahce and if they do that, they have a chance to get another good result. Full squad available for Kayseri.
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Fenerbahce is on the 3rd place but they have every chance to win the league … just 2 points behind leaders Besiktas, it will be a dogfight for sure and Fenerbahce needs every point they can get. The visitors won the last 2 games vs. Balıkesirspor and Sivasspor, also added a win in the Cup so they are in good form and have good morale. The problem for Fener is that they have by far the worst away record from the top teams … just 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses on the road in the Super Liga, a big handicap for them this season. Irtegul and Kesimal are out for Fenerbahce.
I think Erciyesspor has more than a decent chance to get another draw today … or maybe even a shock win like the one vs. Besiktas. Hosts are a decent team despite their low placement, are organized and hard to beat … and maybe most importantly they proved with their results that they have no complex when taking on the big teams. Fenerbahce in good form but not so good on the road, I think they will miss the victory today and settle for a draw … after all rivals Besiktas did not get a single point here. According to my analysis, my tip is Kayseri Erciyesspor +0,75 asian handicap. We get half of stakes back if Fenerbahce edges a 1 goal win, very good deal considering Kayseri did not lose any games by more than 1 goal this season. Correct score prediction: Erciyesspor – Fenerbahce 1-1.
Pick: Kayseri Erciyesspor (+0,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.88 @ Bet365
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.92
Event date: 19 December
