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Serie A encounter between Cesena and Napoli, points being crucial for both teams.
Cesena are a team fighting for survival. They have changed their coach, sacking the previous one who helped them promote. The new one is defensive minded, imposing a more cautious style of football and i think this is the right approach for a limited team like Cesena. Cesena have just 1 win, that came in the 1st round vs Parma, but they have 6 draws, 4 of them at home, vs some creditable opponents. Draws vs Sampdoria, AC Milan and Empoli (don’t be fooled, Empoli is a good team). They also did a great first half at Atalanta, leading 2-0 before losing 3-2. Overall i trust this Cesena side, at least in the 1st half.
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Napoli are just like last season, they are sitting comfortably in 3rd place, won the SuperCup vs Juventus in Doha and for this game miss only Insigne, Michu and Zuniga.
Napoli are a very inconsistent team, but from what i have noticed they struggle vs weak teams but raise their level vs top teams. They won Juventus on penalties in the SuperCup, like i said and also defeated Roma at home (2-0) and drew away at Inter (2-2). But they are also capable of playing very bad like 3-3 at home with Palermo, 1-1 away at Atalanta (who is very bad this season), lost 0-1 at home to Chievo and 0-1 away to Udinese.
I think Cesena has the determination and the quality to give Napoli a run for the money.
Cesena to cover the 1.75 asian handicap is my prediction and I am staking my usual 8 unit flat stake on this bet. The odds are solid considering how much room for error this bet gives Cesena. Good luck.
Pick: Cesena (+1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.64 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.12
Event date: 6 January
