Genk – Mouscron

Genk hosts Mouscron Peruwelz in the 23rd round of the Belgian Pro League.

Genk’s season was so and so until now, we can say more good than bad … 7th place, but they have one less game played and a win today would send them to the 5th place, one point behind the third place. Needless to say it’s a huge game for Genk, with the playoffs getting closer they don’t want to fall behind in the standings. They already dropped some places in the last 2 games where they have only 1 point … but those were some pretty tough matches vs. Club Brugge and Lokeren.

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Mouscron-Peruwelz sits on the 13th place, three points above the relegation zone, but the most worrying fact is their recent form … losing 4 consecutive games and they did not even meet very good teams. They hoped to start 2015 better than they ended 2012 but they lost 1-3 at home vs. Gent last round, in the first match of the year. Also Mouscron has been bad away from home this season, posting a statline of 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses. Playing on the road has been a clear handicap for the visitors.

Genk has generally been trustworthy at home this season and I like them to take advantage of Mouscron-Peruwelz’s struggles today. Genk meets an inferior opponent which is in horrible form, home court advantage is also a factor and I don’t think the hosts will blow this chance to get three huge points.  I will not risk any handicaps but my tip will be Genk to win … and i will stake 8 units on this bet. Genk won 2-1 on the road vs. Mouscron earlier this season. Correct score prediction: Genk – Mouscron 2-0.

Pick: Genk
Odds: 1.65 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.2
Event date: 23 January