Monday night football in Spain, with Malaga hosting Valencia in the 20th round of the Primera Division.
Malaga seems to be in a desperate situation where they can’t by a win at the moment … just one victory in 2015 and a run of 6 games without a win. Hosts are still in a good 7th spot in the standings but are getting further away from the European places and another loss tonight would be close to a disaster. In the last game Malaga lost 1-0 at Bilbao (meaning an exit from Cola del Rey), failing to score for the 3rd time in 4 games. Chen, Ferreira and Sanchez are missing ahead of this clash … but otherwise Malaga can send the best lineup on the pitch.
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Valencia is red hot at the moment, got a big win vs. Sevilla last weekend and took the 4th place for them. The 4th position is the main objective for Valencia … the last Champions League spot … and a win today would be golden, because Sevilla (2 less points, 1 less game played) plays vs. Real Madrid and Valencia can put some distance. Los Che have 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in the last 11 matches so confidence will be sky high. Piatti and Baragan are the only players that will miss from Valencia’s lineup today.
Despite their struggles Malaga are a good team and are not easy to beat, but facing Valencia in this kind of form is very dangerous. The visitors are playing some great football at the moment and are focused to get the win, so I can not see Malaga able to do more than maybe hold out for a draw … but I think Valencia’s form will be enough to get the visitors a narrow win. My tip will be Valencia to win with +0 asian handicap (draw no bet). Maybe an under is also a good pick, but I am more confident going with Valencia. Correct score prediction: Malaga – Valencia 0-1.
Pick: Valencia (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.00 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8
Event date: 2 February