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Borussia Dortmund aims for a much needed first win in 2015, looking to get out of the relegation zone. The hosts might take confidence from the fact that Augsburg was one of the few sides they defeated in the first half of the season, but they almost blew it even back then from a 3-0 advantage.
Dortmund is currently on the last place in the Bundesliga standings, something nobody could have predicted at the start of the season. Borussia’s struggles in the first half of this campaign are well documented and the question was how will Klopp’s side respond in 2015. The answer looks to be a positive one, as Dortmund had a solid run in the winder friendlies (three 1-0 wins and a draw) and played a good game to start the second half of the season – a 0-0 draw in Leverkusen, looking very good at the back.
Augsburg looks to be in great shape right now, sitting on the 5th place and coming after a 3-1 win against Hoffenheim. The visitors can realistically hope for an European placement, even Champions League, so they will be motivated to take at least one point at Signal Iduna Park. However, it`s well known that Augsburg does not perform well away from home, and their statistics on the road this season are as poor as they ever have been – 6 defeats in 9 matches.
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Team news & lineups:
Bender, Kehl, Durm and probably Gundogan will be out for Dortmund. Moravek, Hitz, Molders, Hong, Matavz, Reinhardt and Baba will not be in Augsburg’s lineup. Many players missing for the visitors, but they did just fine without them all in the last round.
Dortmund: Weidenfeller – Piszczek, Hummels, Papastathopoulos, Schmelzer – Ginter, Sahin – Reus, Mkhitaryan, Kagawa – Aubameyang
Augsburg: Manninger – Callsen-Bracker, Verhaegh, Klavan, Feulner – Hojbjerg, Baier, Dong-Won, Altintop, Werner – Bobadilla
Dortmund is not looking bad right now and they are expected to start winning at some point, but you really can’t give them such low odds against an excellent side like Augsburg. The visitors might be shaky on the road, but they have been competitive in all their defeats and Dortmund is still far away from their best level. Dortmund seems to approach the games more pragmatically now, looking primarily to keep a clean sheet and avoid defeat. Augsburg proved time and time again that they can mix it up with the best and if they will lose this, it will likely be by just one goal (only 3 defeats for Augsburg by a form of handicap this season according to the Bundesliga statistics). My tip is Augsburg +1,5 handicap – there`s no way Dortmund should be priced at 1-40 – 1.45, the odds are crazy. Prediction: Borussia Dortmund – Augsburg 1-1.
Pick: Augsburg +1,5
Odds: 1.68 @ Bet365
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.12
Event date: 4 February
