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Villarreal hosts Red Bull Salzburg in the first leg of this Europa League Round 32 tie.
Villarreal was playing very good football until the latest 2 consecutive losses. 1-3 at Barcelona was actually not a bad performance, but 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano was unexpected and disappointing from the Yelow Submarine. Still, it was just one game, so Villarreal will have confidence of getting back on track today … they have the home court advantage, which will be key: Villarreal has 8 consecutive wins at home, ALL of them coming with a clean sheet (17-0 goal difference). The last time they allowed a goal at home was in a 2-2 draw vs. Gladbach which send them to the 2nd place in the Europa League group A.
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Salzburg is having a similar season to last year … they surprisingly blew the qualification to the Champions League vs. Malmo, but had fun in Europa League, winning games by all forms of handicaps and easily winning their group. Salzburg obviously is one of the most offensive minded teams in Europe, they are scoring goals seemingly at will, but they sold their key striker Alan to Guanghzou … also we saw them in the Champions League qualies that they can have problems scoring away against organized teams (Qarabag, Malmo).
Normally this game has goals written all over it, but I`m not so sure. I can see some great value in the bet on Villarreal to win to nil, the visitors proved this year in UCL that they can struggle with goals on the road. Salzburg without Alan could play a little slower football in attack and they had just one official game prior to this Villarreal trip. The hosts are amazingly good at home, they have that 8 game winning streak without conceding a single goal and I think it’s not impossible to stretch it one more game. Hosts will be keen to improve after the defeat vs. Rayo and Mario Gaspar said that the teams is very aware of Salzburg’s scoring power and will focus on stopping them. My tip is Villarreal to win to nil. Correct score prediction: Villarreal – Red Bull Salzburg 1-0.
Pick: Villarreal to win to nil
Odds: 3.00 @ Bet365
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 10
Event date: 19 February
