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Struggling Paderborn takes on Champions League contenders Bayer Leverkusen in a very important match for both sides.
Things can`t get much worse for Paderborn (16th place) right now. The surprise package of the first 10 rounds in Bundesliga, Paderborn has lost all momentum and the hosts are playing on par with their quality – poor. Paderborn has 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats in the last 7 matches, but the manner of those defeats was what stood out – 0-18 goal difference! Last time out it was 0-2 at Borussia Monchengladbach, after a 0-6 home defeat to Bayern.
Leverkusen is on the 6th place but will climb up to the 4th place with a win today, as they are the last team to play in this Bundesliga round. Bayer is on the back of a 2-0 win over Kaiserlautern in the DFB Pokal, though they needed extra time to get that result. The visitors are in pretty good form right now, winning 3 games on the spin without conceding (if we include the Cup match), though all three were at home. Bayer defeated Atletico Madrid 1-0 and in the previous Bundesliga round took care of Freiburg with the same 1-0 scoreline.
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Team news & lineups:
Paderborn will miss Bertels, but otherwise has a clean bill of health. Leverkusen will not be able to count on Jedvaj and Kruse. Son will come back fron suspension and Bender might be back as well, at least on the bench – but he could make his way into the starting lineup. Overall team news are looking good for both teams.
Paderborn: L. Kruse – Wemmer, Strohdiek, Hünemeier, Brückner – Ziegler – Koc, Rupp, Bakalorz, Meha – Kachunga
Leverkusen: Leno – Hilbert, Toprak, Spahic, Wendell – Castro, Rolfes (Bender) – Bellarabi, Calhanoglu, Son – Kießling
This is an absolutely crucial match for Leverkusen, they really need the points so they can maybe rest a couple of players next round against Stuttgart, as that match will be followed by the reverse leg against Atletico Madrid. Climbing to the 4th place is also huge motivation, so there`s no doubt that the visitors are taking this game more than seriously. In these conditions they should be able to take care of this low quality, out of form Paderborn, especially since Bayer is getting some key players back in the lineup. Looking at Paderborn play, it seems next to impossible for them to trouble top teams.
My tip is Leverkusen to win. If you feel like taking risks, Leverkusen to win to nil or Bayer -1 asian handicap could also be good bets – but I`m sticking with safety on this one. Prediction: Paderborn – Bayer Leverkusen 0-2.
Pick: Leverkusen
Odds: 1.70 @ William Hill
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.6
Event date: 8 March
