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Torino faces a very difficult task when they host Zenit St Petersburg, having to overcome a 2-0 deficit from the first leg.
The Italians were quite unlucky to concede that 2-0 defeat in Russia … Torino started very well but Benassi was sent off after less than half an hour and things went downhill from then. Even Andre Villas Boas acknowledged that the sending off was crucial and that his team was struggling to break Torino at the start of the game. Unfortunately for the Italians it is what it is and it looks unlikely to overturn a 2-0 deficit now … espcially with Torino not looking good lately, losing the last 3 matches they played.
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Zenit destroyed PSV in the previous round and now beat Torino 2-0, they did not concede a goal in 3 games in Europa League and look like one of the favorites to win it all. The Russians finished 1-1 in the weekend at Torpedo Moscow, the first official game they failed to win in 2015 so far (only 5 games played though) and the first time they conceded a goal this year (they managed to score in each game).
Zenit clearly looks the stronger team, but Torino is are a decent side themselves and they will try to at least get an honorable result … I don’t think they will lose for a second time vs. Zenit, but they do not seem to have the strength or the form to win either. The game should be very tight, similar to the first 30 minutes in Russia. Overall this seems like a balanced game and probably both teams will be satisfied with a draw as time passes … nobody will force a win if the score is tied and the tie settled towards the end of the match. This is the most probable result today in my opinion, so the odds on such a bet hold good value … my tip will be the draw. Correct score prediction: Torino – Zenit Sankt Petersburg 1-1.
Pick: Draw
Odds: 3.30 @ Bet365
Stake: 5
Possible profit: 11.5
Event date: 19 March
