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Athletic Bilbao hosts Almeria in the 28th round of the Spanish La Liga.
Bilbao’s form has seen a real turnaround in the last month … 4 consecutive wins, despite not playing easy opponents and a single goal allowed … last round in the 2-1 win at Celta Vigo. Hosts don’t have much to fight for in this final part of the season, they can’t relegate, they are already qualified for Europa League because of qualifying in the Cup final vs. Barcelona. Athletic can only try to finish as high as possible and keep a good form until the Copa del Rey final … seems this is not stopping them to play very good football. Herrerin, Viguera, Aduriz, San Jose and possibly Iraola will miss from Athletic’s lineup today.
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Almeria is tied in points with the 18th place and is in a really dangerous position … they need to gain some points quickly, but they do not play the football required to give them home … Almeria did not win in the last 5 matches and most importantly did not score a goal in the last 4. Their offense is looking horrible. The good part is that they can field their best lineup today … only Dos Santos is unavailable.
Bilbao is not the kind of team to win by big margins, they prefer to try and keep a clean sheet and take one of their chances over the 90 minutes … this will surely be the case today. They miss Aduriz up front so will be even more careful at the back and Almeria will come to fight for their lives, defending for a draw … obviously Almeria to score is looking very improbable, specially looking that they did not score a goal in the last 4 matches.
It will not be easy for Athletic Bilbao despite what some may think … but with their current form they will most likely get a goal at some point and win a close game. My tip will be Athletic Bilbao to win to nil. Correct score prediction: Athletic Bilbao – Almeria 1-0.
Pick: Athletic Bilbao to win to nil
Odds: 2.30 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 10.4
Event date: 21 March
