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Real Sociedad hosts Cordoba in the 28th round of the Spanish La Liga.
Sociedad has nothing left to fight for this season … they will not relegate, will not play European football, can only hope for a Top 10 finish. But even so they are in good form, coming after two 1-0 wins over Espanyol and Getafe. Sociedad has become a defensive team under David Moyes and the fact that Vela is missing for some time is not helping them to score more goals … Vela is now finally fit, but it is very likely that Moyes will not risk him until the next round. He is the only injury worry for Real Sociedad.
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Cordoba lost 2-0 last round at Malaga and is now 7 points away from salvation … it is unlikely that they can avoid relegation, but there are a lot of games left to play and they can still have hope. Cordoba has 8 defeats in a row, but the statistics do not tell the whole story … Cordoba lost 6 of those games by only one goal, they were very unlucky, lost some games in the last minutes. The big problem has been the offense with only 4 goals scored in these 8 matches. Vico, Edimar, Bouzon, Crespo, Deivid and Ghilas will not play today.
Cordoba’s goal draught has every chance to continue today … they meet a defensive team which did not allow goals lately and they will have to play them without their best player and goalscorer Ghilas (he scored 7 of Cordoba’s 19 goals this season). It will be a game in which Cordoba will defend for their lives, play very tentative football and Sociedad will patiently work the midfield … there is no urgency for them to suddenly go all out attack. They might or not find the winning goal over the 90 minutes … my guess is they will, but it is risky to bet on a Sociedad win.
The best bet on this encounter is under 2,5 goals in my opinion and that will be my tip … and I consider it a wise investment for myself to go with very high stakes (9 units) on this bet. Correct score prediction: Real Sociedad – Cordoba 1-0.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.71 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.39
Event date: 22 March
