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Moldova takes on Sweden in a one sided Euro 2016 qualifying clash.
Moldova was looking pretty sharp a couple of years ago, seemingly on the right track, but not only did they fail to improve, they actually are going downwards recently. The hosts are last in the group with just 1 point in 4 matches – even though it was an impressive 1-1 draw in Russia. They did keep games close, only Montenegro beat them by more than 1 goal, but they did not win an official match in one and a half years (also the last time they scored more than 1 goal in an official game). Moldova even managed to lose at home to Liechtenstein in this group and they are on the back of a 1-1 home draw in a friendly match with Kazakhstan about one month ago.
Sweden is second in the standings, 4 points behind Austria, and they need every win they can get in a very tough group that also features Russia and Montenegro – both just 1 point behind Sweden. The visitors did not play particularly well lately, but they will be confident that Zlatan Ibrahimovic can lead them to what would be a very important win in Moldova.
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Lineups:
Moldova: Cebanu – Armas, Epureanu, Golovatenco, Racu – Patras, IoniΕ£a, Gatcan, Cojocari – Dedov, Spataru
Sweden: Isaksson – Antonsson, Olsson, Bengtsson, Ekdal – Larsson, Kallstrom, Forsberg – Zengin, Durmaz – Ibrahimovic
With a generally healthy lineup and in big need of a win, I can not see Sweden dropping any points in Moldova. The hosts will play their usual, defensive game and Sweden has, at the worst case, the individual quality to score once – and if they play well, they could surely bang in at least two. Sweden knows that it`s important to not allow a goal if they don’t want to be dragged in a dogfight because it could end badly, with Moldova defending reasonably well. Sweden has been very good at limiting opponents’ chances (just 3 goals conceded in this group) and a bet on them to keep a clean sheet today looks good value.
Moldova has absolutely no offensive power, so my tip here is a Sweden win to nil. Eight units seems like a reasonable stake for this bet. Prediction: Moldova – Sweden 0-1.
Pick: Sweden win to nil
Odds: 2.1 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.8
Event date: 27 March
