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Relegation threatened CSMS Iasi takes on an out of form Dinamo Bucharest side in the Romanian Liga 1, with the hosts considered favorites by the bookies at around 2.40.
Iasi was on the last place for much of this season, but the hosts got a fantastic start in 2015 with 4 consecutive wins and managed to leave the relegation zone. However, it was never going to last – after the 4 wins, Iasi started playing increasingly worse and finally lost last round 1-0 against Targu Mures. It remains to be seen how will they react after that match, as they could really do with at least one point today.
Dinamo Bucharest is clearly in crisis right now, winning just 1 point in the last three matches – last round, in a 0-0 home draw with Botosani. Dinamo played horrible Saturday but even so they should have probably won that game, missing a lot of chances. The situation is not too good, the team has no condifence, fans are livid and the owner decided to deny them airplane transport to this game, so they had to travel 400 km in a bus.
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Team news & lineups:
CSMS Iasi will miss two key players from the lineup in the form of Adrian Olah and Ionut Voicu. Dinamo Bucharest doesn`t have new injuries or suspensions and actually gets back defenders Filip and Marc.
CSMS Iași: Grahovac – Mitić, Mihalache, Plămadă, Ţigănaşu – Bosoi, Fábio Braga, Enescu, Ciucur – Onduku, Golubović
Dinamo: T. Marc – Fai, Machado, Bunoza, S. Filip – Bărboianu, Elhamed – Matei, Alexe, Lazar – Biliński
Obviously the circumstances are favoring Iasi here, so that`s why their odds are so low and dropping. However, I feel that it`s getting out of hand – 2.40 is simply a joke for a team that, despite its good form, is still one of the worst in the league. Dinamo is miles better in terms of quality and if they can find a way to get over the psyhological block, they could well end up with the three points. I reckon playing away might actually be a little easier, considering that at home the fans have been in murderous spirits recently – though the traveling by bus factor is a reason for concern.
Iasi is overrated and Dinamo is underrated right now, so it`s the perfect opportunity to get a value bet in on the visitors. As far as I`m concerned, Dinamo would win 5-6 out of 10 matches in Iasi, the visitors no more than 2-3. I can`t see Dinamo doing worse than a draw against a poor and offensively-challenged Iasi team, so my tip is Dinamo to win with a +0 asian handicap. If the Red Dogs improve compared to the last few matches, they should win – Iasi is starting to lose steam. Prediction: CSMS Iasi – Dinamo 0-1.
Pick: Dinamo (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.08 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8.64
Event date: 7 April
