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Celta Vigo hosts Rayo Vallecano in the 31st round of the Spanish La Liga.
Celta Vigo hoped to capitalize on Granada’s morale after the 1-9 trashing at Bernabeu, but Celta had to satisfy for a 1-1 draw on the road … the 5th time they failed to win in the last 6 matches. Celta’s lack of objective for this final months of the season seems to take a toll on them … the hosts are not able to find their offensive game anymore and the defense is not doing a much better job either, Celta keeping only one clean sheet in the last 6 matches.
For today Celta Vigo will miss Planas and Oubina and there are doubts over the fitness of Fernandez also. Nothing Celta can not cope without.
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Rayo lost 0-2 at home to Real Madrid in the midweek, but the performance was not bad at all … Rayo had the better of Real for long stretches of the game and deserved to get a result … they lost because of two goals in the last 25 minutes, when they got tight. Rayo has 4 wins and 2 losses in the last 6 matches, with the losses coming vs. Real and Barcelona. True, the wins came against modest opponents, the strongest one being Malaga … but Rayo proved in midweek that they are in great shape and can play against big sides as well. Baptistao, Alvarez and Baena will not be in the lineup today for the visitors.
It is hard to understand the odds really. Rayo has been a better team than Celta this season, sitting on the 10th place in the standings compared to Celta’s 12th place. They is not any particular handicap with injuries and suspensions for Rayo. They are in much better form and play good on the road (won 6 of 15 matches) … while Celta is not the greatest home team with only 5 wins in 15 matches. The odds on Celta seem like a trap by the bookmakers and there is no surprise that the big money is being bet on Rayo at the moment.
Visitors should get at least a draw here, they have all the arguments to do so … my tip will be Rayo +0,5 handicap. Correct score prediction: Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano 1-1.
Pick: Rayo Vallecano +0,5
Odds: 2.19 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 10.71
Event date: 11 April
