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Ajax Amsterdam hosts relegation threatened NAC Breda in the 31st round of the Dutch Eredivisie.
Ajax does not have anything to play for, they will finish second in the table … they are 8 points ahead of Feyenoord with 4 rounds to go. Since it became obvious that Ajax can’t do better or worse than second, the hosts slowed things down a bit … the wins generally still came in Eredivisie, but close wins with rather pragmatic football from Ajax (pragmatic football that cost them Europa League vs. Dnipro). Hosts remain in good form overall, but in the last three matches they won 1-0 vs. Den Haag, 2-0 vs. Heracles and finished 1-1 with Utrecht. Milik continues to be the only missing player in Frank De Boer’s lineup.
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NAC Breda is in a difficult situation … they will not relegate directly, but they are on a playout spot. Fortunately for them, Breda caught some very good form lately (2 wins, 2 draws in last 4 matches), which allowed them to climb within 1 point of safety. However the last round was not so impressive … after beating Utrecht and drawing with Hereenveen, NAC Breda lost a 2-0 advantage to only draw 2-2 with the worst team in Eredivisie, Dordrecht. Visitors will not have 4 players in their lineup today: Koch, Falkenburg, Damcevski and van Bezooijen.
Breda is in great form but also in a desperate situation … they will come to Amsterdam Arena to leave everything they have on the pitch and they can get a good result vs. an Ajax team that really did not force any high scoring wins lately. Ajax will dominate possession for sure and will patiently wait to get opportunities. Once (if) they go ahead, they will probably ride the advantage, playing it cool, maybe try and get another … but it’s not all about Ajax, as I`m sure Breda will put on a spirited performance and frustrate their more famous opponents. My tip will be NAC Breda +1,75 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Ajax – NAC Breda 1-0.
Pick: NAC Breda (+1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.88 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.04
Event date: 19 April
