Villarreal – Cordoba

Villarreal hosts Cordoba in the 32nd round of the Spanish La Liga.

Since the losing tie with Sevilla in Europa League, Villarreal has been unrecognizable … 7 matches without a win overall and losing 4 of them. The form at home is particularly poor for Villarreal with 3 consecutive losses at El Madrigal, all of them by handicap (Sevilla twice and Espanyol). Last round Marcelino’s team finished in a 1-1 draw at Getafe. Villarreal was very fortunate that Malaga has played even worse football in the last few weeks, so they get to keep the last Europa league qualifying spot. They have a 5 point advantage and a game in hand, so if they win today vs. Cordoba, they pretty much book that European spot.

Villarreal continues to miss a number of key players (maybe one of the reasons for the latest results). Musacchio, Bruno, Dorado and Marin will not be in the lineup today for the hosts.

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On the last place and nine points away from safety, Cordoba’s dreams of staying up probably ended after the last two matches … when they were equalized in injury time by Deportivo and than lost to Elche at home. Cordoba has a single point in the last 12 matches (!!), they are going for all kinds of records of futility at the moment. These stats are a little harsh because at the start of this losing run Cordoba was really unlucky and did not play bad football, but lately they have collapsed completely. With relegation becoming a certainty and frustrated by all the bad luck they had, Cordoba did not even show fight anymore in the last defeat vs. Elche.

Pinillos and Freie are suspended today for the visiting team, Bouzon will also miss from the lineup (again). Inigo Lopez is questionable for this game.

Villarreal’s form surely does not justify odds as low as 1.30 for them to win … but looking at how Cordoba is playing now and at their recent stats, you have to feel Villarreal will finally get back to winning ways and book that Europa League spot in style. Cordoba looks like a broken down team, frustrated and devastated and, as previously said, they are not even showing fight anymore. That own goal two rounds ago vs. Deportivo seems to have killed their spirit. Plus, they were always poor on the road this season. My tip will be Villarreal to win and cover a 1,5 goal handicap. Correct score prediction: Villarreal – Cordoba 3-0.

Pick: Villarreal -1,5
Odds: 1.95 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.55
Event date: 19 April