Fiorentina – Verona

Fiorentina hosts Hellas Verona in the last match of the Serie A 31st round.

Fiorentina maybe would have liked to play this match on Sunday to have time to prepare for the reverese leg vs. Dynamo Kiev in the Europa League … but on the other hand it was a long trip from Ukraine so maybe they are better off having the time to recover after the first leg. Hosts finished 1-1 in Kiev (equalizing in the last minute) and everything is on the line on Thursday, but they can not lose focus in the Serie A. Fiorentina is 1 point behind the 6th place and has a good chance to climb back to the spots that qualify for Europe with a win today.

Vicenzo Montella will be happy to have a fit starting lineup after struggling with injuries lately … Giuseppe Rossi is the only absentee for Fiorentina.

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Verona has conceded at least a goal in 9 of the last 10 matches and allowed 8 goals in the last three matches … translating into a single point for the visitors. These last three matches have shown some dreadful football from Verona, including a 3-3 home draw with Cesena and a 0-3 loss at home with Inter last week. Fortunately for the visitors they are on the 16th place with 10 points above the red zone, so the risk of relegation is virtually zero. Artur Ionita continues to miss out from the lineup, but there are no other injuries or suspensions for the visitors.

The hosts did not win in the last three matches and need to bounce back today, otherwise it will be a very difficult end to the season. Their recent schedule was incredibly hard so they will be thankful for the chance to have an easier match, at home. Verona is playing poor football at the moment … they are defending horribly, so I do not expect them to get points against a healthy and motivated Fiorentina side. Look for the hosts to come out strong and dominate the match. My tip will be Fiorentina to win and cover a -1 asian handicap in the process. Correct score prediction: Fiorentina – Verona 2-0.

Pick: Fiorentina (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.78 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.24
Event date: 20 April