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Two of the most defensive sides in Romania Liga 1 will square off today in the 31st round.
CSU Craiova doesn’t have much left to fight for since they found out they are banned to compete in the Europa League and the results suddenly dropped – 2 points in the last 5 matches, dropping from 3rd to 5th in the standings. The hosts are playing a very defensive style of football courtesy of the defensive – minded coaching duo of Cartu and Sandoi, their objective in every game is to keep a clean sheet and maybe get a winning goal. Craiova failed to score in 3 of the last 5 matches, but coach Cartu was not upset about this stat – he praised his team for the 0-0 home draw with Dinamo and absolutely slated his players after the 2-2 draw away with Chiajna.
Iasi has a similar approach with Craiova in terms of the football they play, a very defensive style which currently sees an average of under 2 goals being scored in their games this season. They have been particularly cautious in the second part of the season, keeping a clean sheet in 11 of the 13 matches played in 2015, incredible statistics for a side fighting to avoid relegation. This excellent defense saw them rise to the 9th place in the table and they could mathematically escape the drop with a point today.
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Team news & lineups:
Madson and playmaker Brandan are out for Craiova, while CSMS Iasi won’t be able to count on Tiganasu, Mihalache and Markovic.
CSU Craiova: Balgradean – Dumitras, Acka, Frasinescu, Vatajelu – Briceag, Baluta, Mateiu, Tarnacop – Nuno Rocha – Bawab
CSMS Iasi: Grahovac – Voicu, Ciuca, Plamada, Badic – Ciucur, Fabio Braga, Enescu, Bole, Onduku – Golubovic
Iasi has 11 matches with under 2,5 goals from the 11 they played in 2015 and Craiova has 10 underish matches from 13. The statistics clearly indicate an under here, but it’s also the way these teams play and the circumstances of the game. Iasi will come focused to get a draw (obviously 0-0 being the top option), while a bored and slightly relaxed Craiova side will be content to play their defensive football, without managing to put any pressure up front – especially considering that their playmaker and only player that can make a pass longer than 2 meters is out. Looking at the two sides play, you start wondering how could anyone bang in a single goal here.
The odds on the under over market are great so my tip is under 2 goals to be scored – I expect a maximum of one goal, but I`ll pick the asian under of 2 just to be on the safe side. I also believe the value is on Iasi on the 1×2 market, the visitors should be able to get a draw as the in form and more motivated team. Prediction: CSU Craiova – CSMS Iasi 0-0.
Pick: under 2 goals
Odds: 2.11 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 9.99
Event date: 9 May
