Dacia Chisinau takes on Zilina in the Europa League second qualifying round, first leg. Both teams are in pre-season right now, but both played 2 competitive matches in the Europa League first qualifying round.
Dacia Chisinau won 1-0 (away) and 4-1 (home) over Macedonian side Renova to get to this stage, confirming the progress that Moldavian football is making. The hosts finished second last year, tied in points with both winners Milsami and third placed Sheriff in what was a crazy end of the season. The capital side actually led the league until the last round, but lost it all in the final stage due to a loss against Milsami and went on to lose the Cup in extra time with Sheriff right after that, so it was a devastating end to the season.
Dacia has a decent side, they had the best defense in the National league last season and will surely feel they have what it takes to pose a real threat to Zilina, at least on home court.
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Just like Dacia, Zilina finished second last season and had the best defense in the Slovakian league, even though they were eventually 5 points behind winners Trencin. The similarities continue in the sense that Zilina won both their legs in the first qualifying stage, beating the semi-professional Northern Irish side Glentoran 4-1 on the road and 3-0 at home.
Obviously Zilina is the better team here, but they won`t have an easy game against an in-form, confident and emerging Dacia side. Both sides rely a lot on their defense and giving the circumstances of the match, an underish games seems really likely. The script seems to be written for a game in which Dacia will try to defend a draw, avoiding conceding a goal at home and hopefully hitting on counters – while Zilina will likely hold most of the ball, patiently trying to build attacks and find openings.
The under over market seems like the way to go and it`s no surprise really that the odds on the under are dropping. They`re still solid though, so my tip is under 2,5 goals to be scored. A simple and logical bet really. Prediction: Dacia Chisinau – Zilina 0-0.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.75 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6
Event date: 16 July
Moldovian teams are underish, so this makes a lot of sense.
Don’t know anything about Zilina though