Hungary – Faroe

Hungary and Faroe Islands meet in Group F of the Euro 2016 qualifying tournament, with Hungary very much in with a chance to qualify, while the Islanders are only fighting for pride.

Hungary will book a playoff spot with a win today against Faroe, but the hosts are more interested in finishing second – which is unlikely, but fully possible, as Hungary is 3 points behind Romania and 4 points behind Northern Ireland with two rounds to go. The hosts are on the back of a 1-1 road draw against Northern Ireland, after previously holding Romania for a 0-0 draw at home.

Faroe Islands are having their best ever qualifying campaign with 6 points in 8 matches so far – but they really were made to look better than they are by Greece. Faroe’s 6 points came via two wins against the former European champions, who suffered a historic collapse in these qualifiers. Faroe is clearly on an uptrend and they are not easy to beat anymore, posting a remarkable defense – but outside those two matches against Greece, the Islanders have zero points and only two goals scored.

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Expect Faroe Islands to come in with their usual tight defensive game, while Hungary will be very cautious not to make mistakes. The hosts know that if they allow a goal their mission will become dangerously difficult, so I am sure they will not take risks – instead, they will patiently build attacks, waiting for the right opportunity.

With 6 goals scored in 8 matches in this group, Hungary are far from being an offensive side and with so much at stake, I doubt they will put more than a couple of goals past Faroe Islands – a team that proved able to stay within touching distance with the opponents in this group. On the other hand, a patient and intelligent Hungary should keep a clean sheet against the minnows. A handicap bet seems dangerous, but a tip on Hungary to win to nil makes a lot of sense as far as I`m concerned.

This will obviously not be the most anticipated encounter of the day, but the betting potential is surely there. Pick a Hungary win with a clean sheet after a slow, fragmented and overall dull game here. Prediction: Hungary – Faroe Islands 1-0.

Pick: Hungary win to nil
Odds: 1.75 @ Bet365
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6
Event date: 8 October