Wolfsburg and PSV Eindhoven will square off in the tightest group of the Champions League, with all 4 teams, including Man United and CSKA Moscow, being tied with 3 points each.
The Germans finally ended a peculiar run of bad form, in which they gained a single point in 4 matches. Wolfsburg played well to defeat Hoffenheim 4-2 over the weekend and will hope that the result will get them back on track. There is reason to hope for that, as Wolfsburg played good football overall this season and the run of bad form was facilitated by meeting top teams like Man United, Bayern Munich or Gladbach.
PSV Eindhoven showed a “Jekyll and Hide” face in the last two matches. After losing in Moscow, they defeated Ajax 2-1 on the road, only to follow that with a very poor home performance against Excelsior, drawing 1-1. Indeed, PSV was focusing on this Champions League clash, but a team like Excelsior shouldn`t have given them any kind of problems, in any circumstances. The visitors need to prove themselves on the road in the Champions League – they lost 8 of the last 10 away matches in the competition and have not won in Germany since 1977.
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Team news & lineups:
Lopes and Knoche are questionable for the hosts, but Wolfsburg has an otherwise full squad and gets a couple of key players back from injury. PSV will miss Arias, Willems, Jozefzoon and Lestienne.
Wolfsburg: Benaglio – Vieirinha, Naldo, Dante, Rodríguez – Gustavo – Caligiuri, Draxler, Kruse, Schurrle – Dost
PSV Einshoven: Zoet – Brenet, Poulsen, Bruma, Moreno – Hendrix, Propper, Guardado – Pereiro, Narsingh, De Jong
This will be a crucial encounter for the final outcome of Group B. Wolfsburg gets back key players like Vieirinha or Luis Gustavo and the hosts are likely to play a very offensive 4-1-4-1 formation. In these circumstances and with PSV not the best defensive outfit out there (also missing some crucial players), I reckon the hosts have every chance of booking the three points and they should score 2 or 3 goals in the process as well. Home court advantage and the team news status should be deciding factors for this clash.
Wolfsburg’s form has been shaky lately, but they played well over the weekend and remain a side to be reckoned with, while PSV hasn`t been in top shape either. My tip is Wolfsburg to win. The over might also be a good bet, but I am sticking with my pick. Odds are dropping on this bet. Prediciton: Wolfsburg – PSV Eindhoven 3-1.
Pick: Wolfsburg
Odds: 1.65 @ Youwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.20
Event date: 21 October