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Mainz and Stuttgart will open the 16th round of the German Bundesliga, with the hosts rated as ~ 2.15 odds favorites by the bookmakers, despite being placed 10 places above Stuttgart in the standings.
Mainz is having a great season so far, standing on the 7th place, just 3 points behind the third position. It’s not really a surprise, as Mainz has been a solid team for some time now, they play a very organized brand of football and have steadily improved over the last couple of years. The hosts are also in fine form, posting 3 wins and a draw in the last 4 matches – including two consecutive victories in the last two rounds over Frankfurt and Hamburg.
Yet again, Stuttgart is having a miserable year and it seems they just won’t stop until they will relegate. The visitors saved themselves miraculously last season, but are now again in the relegation mix, standing on the 17th place, courtesy of claiming just one point in the last 4 rounds. Three points away from safety, the visitors really need something from this match. They might have a glimmer of confidence due to drawing 1-1 against Werder Bremen last round, after losing 3 consecutive matches with an aggregate scoreline of 1-12.
Bet on Mainz vs. VFB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga with the highest odds at 18Bet.com
Team news & lineups:
Balogun and Soto will not be in Mainz’s lineup, while Frei and Sereno are doubtful. Ginczek, Langerak, Harnik and Klein are out for Stuttgart.
Mainz: Karius – Brosinski, Hack, Bell, Bengtsson – Baumgartlinger – De Blasis, Malli, Samperio – Muto, Niederlechner
Stuttgart: Tyton – Schwaab, Baumgartl, Sunjic, Insua – Die, Gentner – Kostic, Maxim, Didavi – Werner
Stuttgart changed the manager two rounds ago and it remains to be seen what effect that will have, but so far there haven’t been too many changes. The visitors are given way too much credit from the bookmakers today and nothing can justify Mainz having such high odds – even if Stuttgart hasn’t lost in the last two Head 2 Head meetings, changed the manager and does have a tendency to play a good game once in a while.
The danger factors for Mainz exist and are listed above, but the hosts are the better team here and have home court advantage – not to mention the massive discrepancy in form. The home side is playing some real good football this season and particularly lately, so my tip here is Mainz to win with a -0,25 asian handicap. Prediction: Mainz – Stuttgart 2-0.
Pick: Mainz (-0,25 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.92 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 8.28
Event date: 11 December
