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In form Villarreal will host SD Huesca in the Copa del Rey after the Liga Adelante side got a shock 3-2 win at home on the first leg.
Villarreal is doing pretty well right now, coming off a superb 1-0 win over Real Madrid in the weekend – their second consecutive victory in Primera. The hosts are now on the 5th place, just 1 point behind the 4th placed Celta Vigo and will definitely want to carry the momentum in this match with Huesca. Villarreal has been great at home this season, as usual, posting a 6-1-1 statline. This, coupled with the fact that they will field a stronger lineup than in the first leg, should give the Yellow Submarine an important advantage.
Despite the 3-2 first leg win against Villarreal, Huesca is not in a good moment right now. Credit to them for winning that match, but Villarreal sent in some substitutes and Huesca had their fair share of luck. The visitors are currently fighting to avoid relegation from the Liga Adelante, where they sit on the 17th place, just 1 point above the red zone. They lost 3 of the last 4 games in the competition, despite winning this weekend against the last placed Almeria.
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Team news: Villarreal has called up all the best players for this game and the hosts are expected to field the first choice lineup except for Bailly, Costa and Pino, who are unavailable. Huesca will obviously use their best available team, as this is a huge match for them, even if they are having problems in the league.
I can’s see Huesca doing any damage at El Madrigal, they are not a good team and are in poor form. Winning at home was one thing, but staying competitive on the road against a much improved opponent will be a totally different challenge. Villarreal also has the morale and momentum after grabbing that excellent win over Real Madrid. Obviously that could always backfire and produce a hangover effect, but I don’t think it will be the case
The fact that Villarreal is projected to field the first choice lineup after losing in the first leg and Huesca’s poor form make me believe that an upset is unlikely to happen here. Villarreal should do well and win by 2 or more goals, they need a clean, solid victory in order to avoid becoming vulnerable towards the end of the match.
Look for the home side to keep possession and put pressure on Huesca right from the start. The visitors have conceded at least a goal in each of the last 7 matches so their defense doesn’t look to good right now. They should not be able to resist too much before allowing a goal and then needing to open up, leaving more open spaces for the home side to exploit. All in all, my tip on this one is Villarreal to win and cover a 1,5 goal handicap. Odds are dropping on this bet. Prediction: Villarreal – Huesca 3-0.
Pick: Villarreal -1,5
Odds: 1.75 @ Unibet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6
Event date: 17 December
