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Lazio takes on Sparta Prague at Olimpico, after the Italians were the better team in a 1-1 draw in the first leg of this Europa League round of Last 16 tie.
Lazio should have arguably won in Czech Republic, even though the 1-1 result can’t be considered unfair. It was a close game with Lazio having the edge, but in the end a scoring draw is still a very good result for the Italians. Lazio struggled with offense lately, going scoreless in 5 of the last 8 Serie A matches. They did win 2-0 against Atalanta few days ago however, their first domestic win in quite a while – and also did it by resting some key players.
Sptarta Prague did a great job to get past Krasnodar in the last round with a 4-0 aggregate score, looking very sharp at the back. The visitors are in pretty good form, fighting for the domestic title and are on the back of a 2-0 road win against Sigma Olomuc – their 3rd road win in the last 4 matches in all competitions.
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Team news & lineups:
Both teams are relatively healthy. Lazio will miss De Vrij, Basta and Konko, while Sparta Prague can pretty much field its best lineup, only having Matejovsky as a doubt.
Lazio: Marchetti – Patric, Hoedt, Bisevac, Radu – Milinkovic-Savic, Biglia, Parolo – Keita, Matri, Anderson
Sparta Praha: Bicik – Zahustel, Holek, Brabec, Nhamoinesu – Vacha, Marecek – Dockal, Frydek, Krejci – Lafata
My tip is under 2,5 goals to be scored. Lazio might be the better team and they also have home court advantage, but they are not a team that wins easily. They are prone to draws, their offense is often predictable and against a solid team like Sparta Prague, I would not be shocked if Lazio goes trough with a 0-0 result.
It`s also worth considering the fact that 1 early goal would not change much. No matter who would score, the other team would not be under pressure to go all out attack. The result in the first leg definitely works in favor of an under. Prediction: Lazio – Sparta Praha 0-0.
Pick: under 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.87 @ 1xBet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.09
Event date: 17 March
