Osmanlispor – Villarreal

Osmanlispor Villarreal betting preview

Osmanlispor and Villarreal will square off in the third round of the Europa League Group L. The hosts are tied with Zurich for the second place, with 3 points, while Villarreal leads the group with 4 points.

Osmanlispor defeated Steaua 2-0 at home in the first round, in a match that seemed to be destined for a draw until Steaua had a man sent off. Unfortunately for the Turkish team they could not back up that victory and lost in the next round in Switzerland, 1-2, against Zurich. It was the first and only defeat of the season for Osmanlispor, which has 2 wins and 5 draws (!!) in the Turkish league and cruised in the Europa League qualifiers.

Villarreal is on the back of a fantastic 5-0 home win against Celta Vigo, their 9th consecutive game without a loss in all competitions (5 wins, 4 draws). The visitors are looking great this year, currently sitting on the 5th place in La Liga and leading this Europa League group despite not playing at their full strength and resting some players against Zurich (2-1) & Steaua (1-1).

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Team news: Osmanlispor will probably continue to miss star striker Webo, while Villarreal is expected to rotate the squad a little bit.

Villarreal seemed to have almost no interest to win their previous game in the group, away at Steaua. They mostly fielded substitute players and adopted a slow style of play, looking extremely satisfied with one point. The game ended 1-1.

Chances are the above scenario will repeat itself in this clash. The Spanish side know that they can easy win this group by winning their home games and it makes no sense for them to lose energy on long travels to Romania or Turkey. They might also suffer a form of hangover after the marvelous 5-0 win over Celta Vigo.

The Yellow Submarine will probably rest a few key players again and they would be satisfied with one point that will probably keep them at the top of the group after this round, with two home matches left to play.

On the same note, Osmanlispor will definitely be happy with a draw as well, as they are playing the strongest team in the group. They are also extremely prone to draws, recording 5 draws in 7 matches in Turkey this season. They are tough to break down, but also struggle themselves to win matches.

I believe all circumstances suggest a draw here. Villarreal does have the quality to get the three points, so I will secure my bet in case of an away win, but I doubt they will try too much to do it. What seems very unlikely is for Osmanlispor to win – Villarreal has not lost in 9 matches, they are a better side, very consistent and don`t usually get upset by inferior sides. The hosts will also be fully focused on not losing and less on winning. As such, the risk seems low on my bet here.

My tip is a Draw on the Villarreal win no bet market. Prediction: Osmanlispor – Villarreal 1-1.

Pick: Draw – Villarreal win no bet
Odds: 1.80 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.40
Event date: 20 October

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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