
Leicester City is virtually qualified to the next stage of the Champions League and a draw would definitely secure their spot. However, the English Champions will be keen to claim a win that would go a long way towards securing them the first place in the group – or even guarantee it, if Porto does not win in Demnark. Brugge has a small chance of finishing 3rd if they claim victory today.
The Foxes have been much better in Champions League than in the Premier League this season and it`s not a surprise, since Claudio Ranieri openly stated that Europe is the main objective this year. Leicester dominated this group with 3 wins and 1 draw, sitting 3 points in front of FC Porto and 5 points in front of FC Copenhagen at the moment. The hosts have not won any of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
Club Brugge has not been able to rise to the occasion this season in the Champions League, they have one of the worst records in the competition with 0 points and a 1-10 goal difference. It is particularly embarrassing due to the fact that this may be the weakest UCL group this season. Brugge is also struggling a bit in Belgium, where they are just 4th in the standings. Form is poor with 1 win in the last 4 matches in all competitions, so it`s pretty obvious that right now Brugge is not such a good team.
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Schmeichel, Chillwell and Mendy are out for Leicester, while Slimani and James are doubtful. Also, Claudio Ranieri stated that he might drop Mahrez to the bench due to his poor form, but the expectation is for him to start today. As for Club Brugge, they will miss Vorber, but there are also questionmarks over the fitness of Diaby and Rafaelov.
Leicester City: Zieler – Simpson, Huth, Morgan, Fuchs – Albrighton, Drinkwater, King, Mahrez – Musa, Vardy
Club Brugge: Butelle – Poulain, Simons, Denswil – Rhijn, Pina, Gedoz, Claudemir, Vanaken, Izquierdo – Vossen
Leicester is struggling domestically and doesn`t appear to be in good form, but they have been a different animal in Champions League, just like Ranieri wanted. Leicester will be eager to get a foothold on the first place in the group today and they will also be desperate for a morale boosting win after 4 consecutive matches without one.
Club Brugge still has a chance to play Europa League football next year if they win this and Copenhagen does not defeat Porto. As such, Club Brugge must play this match to win and that should be an advantage for Leicester. Brugge can’t simply park the bus (not that they know how to do it anyway), so Leicester will have opportunities to counter, which is when they are most dangerous.
I expect Leicester to win this comfortably, but that does not necessarily mean a large score. We know the Foxes aren`t that prone to winning big, even if they did beat Brugge 3-0 in Belgium. I will settle for the 1.50 odds on the straight win, as opposed to a handicap bet. My tip is Leicester City to win. Prediction: Leicester City – Club Brugge 2-0.
Pick: Leicester City
Odds: 1.53 @ Betsson
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 4.77
Event date: 22 November
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