
Monday night football in Spain, as Villarreal and Atletico Madrid will square off in a high profile match, counting for the 15th round in Primera Division.
Villarreal is on the back of a 2-1 home win against Steaua Bucharest in Europa League, but the result and level of play actually came to confirm Villarreal’s poor form. The Yellow Submarine needed to win that match and they were barely able to do it against an inferior team that was in crisis at the time of the match. In La Liga, Villarreal claimed a single point in the last three rounds and things are clearly not going well for them right now.
Atletico Madrid had 3 wins in a row before being held to a 0-0 draw at home by Espanyol last round. It was a poor result, as Atletico was hoping to capitalize on the draw between Barcelona and Real Madrid, but could not do it. They followed that up with a 0-1 defeat at Bayern Munich, but still won their Champions league group. A positive aspect for Atletico is that they kept 5 clean sheets in a row.
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Castillejo, Soldado and N’Diaye are out for Villarreal, while the match might also come too soon for Musacchio and Cheryshev. Atletico Madrid will miss Filipe Luis, Cerci and Fernandez.
Villarreal: Asenjo – Gaspar, Gonzalez, Ruiz, Costa – Dos Santos, Trigueros, Bruno, Soriano – Sansone, Bakambu
Atletico Madrid: Oblak – Juanfran, Godin, Jimenez, Hernandez – Koke, Tiago, Gabi – Carrasco, Gameiro, Griezmann
Atleti is just 5th in the league right now, 12 points behind Real Madrid and 6 points behind Barcelona. They really need points today in order to narrow that gap and looking at Villarreal’s form, Atletico will be confident of getting point(s) here. I doubt that Diego Simeone will allow a loss given how badly Atletico needs a result.
There`s something wrong with Villarreal right now and even at home, where they are usually so strong, they struggled lately. Villarreal has 5 wins in 7 home matches in La Liga, but the last two matches at El Madrigal ended with a 0-2 loss to Alaves and an ugly, late 2-1 win against Steaua Bucharest.
I do think home court advantage will be enough for the Yellow Submarine to snatch a draw, but no more than that. If anybody will win, I think Atletico is much more likely to do that. Look for a close match without too many goalscoring opportunities and my tip will be a draw on the Atletico Madrid win no bet market. Prediction: Villarreal – Atletico Madrid 1-1.
Pick: Draw – Atletico Madrid win no bet
Odds: 1.63 @ Bwin
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.04
Event date: 12 December
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