Villarreal – Toledo

Villarreal and third division side Toledo square off in a meaningless Copa Del Rey match, after Villarreal won the first leg 3-0 in Toledo.

Villarreal beat Toledo 3-0 on the road in a period when they were playing their worst football of the season. Since then, the Yellow Sumbarine has stepped on the gas and Villarreal is now back in top shape, winning 3 matches in a row in all competitions. The last two wins came in emphatic fashion, 3-0 against Atletico Madrid and 3-1 away at Gijon. The hosts are expected to rest most starters in this match, but should still field a decent lineup.

Toledo is on the second place in the Segunda B Group 2 (third division), but their recent form is very poor and they are slipping away in the standings. Toledo won just 1 of the last 5 matches in the third division, suffering a few ugly losses in the process and things are definitely not going their way at the moment.

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Team news: Villarreal is expected to field a second string lineup here, containing very few of the usual starters, a number of bench players and a couple of youngsters. Toledo should field its strongest lineup, but they might give a rest to a couple of key guys as well.

Despite the fact that Villarreal will not field the best lineup in this match, they are expected to still put on a decent team, especially as this is the last match of the year. It won`t be about resting players for Villarreal, it will mostly be about giving some fringe players and some youngsters a chance.

For Toledo this will obviously be a big match against a Primera Division side, but with morale low and direct promotion slipping away from them, the visitors might not be completely up for this clash. Avoiding a humiliating result will likely be the main objective. They weren`t able to challenge Villarreal when they were in better form, Villarreal was in poor form and Toledo had home court advantage. The tables are completely turned now.

Difference in quality is obviously huge here and an in form Villarreal should easily take care of Toledo. Morale is very important in such matches and the hosts have plenty of it right now after the recent results, so they should show a good attitude and willingness to enjoy football. The fringe players will be eager to impress, so despite the lack of motivation I fully expect Villarreal to get a comfortable result and win by 2-3 goals at the very least.

My tip is Villarreal to cover the -2 asian handicap. Prediction: Villarreal – Toledo 3-0.

Pick: Villarreal (-2 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.93 @ SlBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 7.44
Event date: 20 December