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Leverkusen suffered a humiliating 5-0 home defeat to Manchester United midweek in Champions League. Bayer looked horrible in that game, but a visit from second to last placed Nurnberg could provide them with a much needed confidence boost.
Leverkusen played some great football this season and they are ahead of Borussia Dortmund in the standings, on the 2nd place, with a statline of 10 wins, 1 draw and 2 loss. At home they were 6-1-0 in Bundesliga, only losing points in a draw with Bayern Munchen. Naturally, it was a huge surprise to see them fall 5-0 to United, but they deserved to lose big in that game, as their form was nowhere to be found. However, captain Rolfes stated that he doesn’t think the heavy defeat will ruin Leverkusen’s rhythm.
Nurnberg did not get a single win in the 13 rounds elapsed so far, a horrible performance for them. They will look to finally break the run against Leverkusen, but surely it looks unlikely. The visitors are second to last with 8 points and have lost twice in the last three rounds, but they are on the back of a 1-1 home draw with Wolfsburg. Despite their horrible placement, record and form, Nurnberg did get some impressive results along the way, like drawing with Wolfsburg, Frankfurt, Stuttgart or Dortmund. On the road they lost just twice and recorded 5 draws. This is a poor team, no doubt about it, but they can frustrate top sides at times, as they seem to be more focused in the big games.
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Team news & lineups
Leverkusen will be without Palop, Boenisch, Hilbert and Sam, the latter being a big blow for the hosts. Nurnberg can’t count on Antonio and Gebhart.
Bayer Leverkusen: Leno – Donati, Willscheid, Toprak, Can – Bender, Rolfes, Reinartz – Castro, Kiessling, Son.
Nürnberg: Schafer – Chandler, Nilsson, Pogatetz, Plattenhardt – Frantz – Feulner, Hasebe, Kiyotake, Drmic – Ginczek
Nurnberg has been one of Leverkusen’s preferred victims recently, with Bayer winning both meetings last season (2-0, 1-0) and the last three overall.
Bayer Leverkusen should win this game. I am not underestimating Nurnberg at all and I know that, despite their current placement, they can be a dangerous side if their defense has one of its rare good days. However, Leverkusen is an extremely solid side, extremely at home, ant the 0-5 drubbing they got from Manchester only adds more fire and motivation for them to recover. It;s hard to expect Leverkusen to put together 2 bad games at home. Sidney Sam’s absence could limit the hosts’ chances to cover a big spread, but their fast offensive play with Son, Kiessling or Bender should do the job against this Nurnberg side. The visitors conceded in every single game this season, while Leverkusen only failed to score twice in Bundesliga, both times on the road. My pick is a solid and confident home win and I see the -1 Asian Handicap as the best betting choice for this match. Bayer Leverkusen – FC Nurnberg 2-0. A simple bet here, but I am very confident in the pick and I will go with high stakes. Surely Bayer is more focused than ever and set to bounce back after the horrible loss against Manchester Untied.
Pick: Bayer Leverkusen (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.84 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.56
Event date: 30 November
Editor Facts
- Rostick is 2 for 2 in picks involving Leverkusen this season
