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Sevilla lost again last round, 1-4 at home to Barcelona, continuing a dreadful run of 5 matches without a win and 3 defeats in a row. The hosts have now dropped on the 8th place (tied in points with Valencia) and can`t afford another bad step if they want to qualify for Europe again.
Sevilla has played all out attacking football under Unai Emery this season; not surprising looking at strikers they have at their disposal: Bacca, Gameiro or Reyes. In Sevilla’s matches there is an average of 3.60 goals scored per game and the team is on the back of 3 matches with 5 goals scored in each of them – allowing at least 3 goals in each of those matches. For this game Sevilla does not have serious injuries or suspensions … but Perotti, Cicinho and Mbia are all questionable and chances are they won`t play, or at least won’t start.
FC Sevilla lineup: Beto – Coke, Parejo, Fazio, Moreno – Iborra, Carrico – Vitolo, Rakitic, Reyes – Bacca
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Valencia is in the same need of points like Sevilla. Tied with the hosts for the 8th place, the visitors need a win to stay in the race for Europe. They should feel good about their odds to get it considering Sevilla’s form, but it will be a tough match for sure. Valencia is playing fantastic in the last few weeks, winning their last two games in emphatic fashion: 3-2 on Camp Nou vs. Barcelona and 5-0 vs. Betis. Valencia likes to play open, free-flowing football and has an average of 3.10 goals/game scored in their matches. There have been over 2,5 goals scored in 9 of Valencia’s last 11 games in La Liga. Oriol Romeu is the only absentee for Valencia.
Valencia lineup: Diego Alves – Barragan, Senderos, Mathieu, J.Bernat – Parejo, Javi Fuego – Piatti, Vargas, Feghouli – P. Alcacer
Both teams need to win this game so they should play their usual brand of attacking football … and I expect goals flying here. The goalscoring stats are crazy for both sides and watching them play you can’t expect anything else than a high scoring encounter in a direct meeting. Valencia won 3-1 at home this season against Sevilla in a match with a lot of goalscoring chances and I see no reason for this not to happen today. Both teams have been involved in extremely high scoring matches recently so I can see another one coming here. My tip is over 2,5 goals and I am taking the bet early because the odds are dropping. Correct score prediction would be a draw that won`t help anybody: Sevilla – Valencia 2-2.
Pick: over 2,5 goals
Odds: 1.71 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.39
Event date: 16 February
With no ofense,but your predictions are garbadge.You are at -165 and to continue in the same line is a rookye mistake.The same type of prediction under or over 2,5 Spain,Italy,etc. In every sport or other activity when something goes wrong you continue until one point.But when the situation is very bad ,you change something.I am not a pro,i admit,but i think at your big minus you can’t blame the badluck. Nothing personal,just a clean opinion.Goodluck!
I can`t argue with you, my picks have been bad. I think you are exagerrating the under/over trend because I only insisted with these kind of picks in the last 1-2 months.
On Rostick`s romanian website where I previously wrote I had a very good record. I know nobody cares but what I mean is I proved over years I can make profit and I trust I can recover from this -165.