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Lazio will feel confident of getting back to winning ways at Stadio Olimpico against a totally out of sorts Sassuolo team.
Lazio lost to Ludogorets at home (0-1) in the Europa League Round 32 on Thursday, putting on another disappointing performance and failing to win for the 5th time in the last 6 games in all competitions. However only the last two games against Catania (1-3) and Ludogorets have been trully bad for Lazio in this winless run. Prior to those two games they lost 1-0 at Napoli, held Roma to a 0-0 draw and Juventus to a 1-1 draw and defeated Chievo 2-0 on the road. The hosts have dropped to the 10th place in the Serie A after the recent performances and they could really use a win against Sassuolo to stand any chance of qualifying for Europe (they are currently 7 points behind Inter).
Sassuolo is in deep crisis at the moment. After a horrendous start to the season the team recovered to get some points in November, but since than it has all been downhill for them: Sassuolo lost 10 of the last 11 matches they played, including the last 5, and are on the back of a 0-2 home defeat to Napoli. The only bright spots in this bad run have been a 4-3 home win against Milan and a decent performance in a 0-1 defeat to Inter. The team obviously lacks quality for Serie A level and the odds are that they will finish bottom of the table at the end of the season.
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Team news and lineups
Ederson, Postiga and Alfaro are the only injury worries for Lazio. Sassuolo is in a much worse spot, missing Alexe, Acerbi, Masucci, Manfredini, Biondini, Terranova and Ziegler.
Lazio: Marchetti – Kongo, Biava, Dias, Radu – Candreva, Biglia, Ledesma, Lulic – Mauri – Klose
Sassuolo: Pegolo – Antei, Cannavaro, Ariaudo – Rosi, Marrone, Magnanelli, Longhi – Berardi, Flores, Sansone
Lazio is not really in crisis right now as their results have been rather good prior to the Catania and Ludogorets defeats. After 2 bad games the hosts have a great chance to recover against Sassuolo and I reckon they`ll take it without hesitation. Lazio has been good at home this season with 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses and I feel they are a little underrated after the recent result, thus getting pretty good odds. Expect Lazio to hold the ball and impose its superior quality, creating a number of chances and taking a couple of them over the course of the 90 minutes. I don`t expect Sassuolo to score here as they are netting less than 1 goal per game on the road, while Lazio concedes less than 1 goal per game at home. The hosts are the better team, they are healthier, motivated and are playing at home against a team that can`t buy a point in the last few months. My tip is Lazio to win – 1,5 handicap. It might be a bit of a stretch since Lazio is not known for winning big, but they can do it against this Sassuolo side and the odds could hardly be better. Prediction: Lazio – Sassuolo 3-0.
Pick: Lazio Roma (-1,5)
Odds: 2.55 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 12.40
Event date: 23 February
