Paris Saint Germain vs. Guingamp in the French SuperCup, match will be played in Beijing, China.
PSG would like to start this year with a SuperCup win, as they are eyeing every piece of silverware available according to captain Cabaye. PSG was dominant in France last season especially at home, clearly they have a class above Guingamp, but still they will need to work for the win. They will likely not start a couple of players today, for example David Luiz is not ready after the post – World Cup vacation; but of course PSG will still be able to field a fantastic lineup.
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Guingamp barely escaped relegation last season but went on a giant-killing spree in the French Cup, beating Monaco and Rennes to lift the trophy. This year Guingamp does not want to worry about relegation again and want to build on the Cup success so they brought in a couple of good players and they said that today`s game is the most important of the season for them, because they don’t have the chance to fight for silverware too often. Guingamp will use the best lineup today.
PSG has one class above Guingamp, no doubt, but value does not automatically win you games. I feel Guingamp has a few things working in their favor today: they are more motivated, PSG will miss 2-3 players and also Guingamp’s players are more match-ready after not playing in the World Cup and having time to rest, than train. Last year PSG won the Supercup vs. Bordeaux 2-1 in Gabon in the last second after being down 0-1 in the 8th minute. I think something similar can happen today. Guingamp’s odds are too high so my tip will be Guingamp +1,5 handicap. Last season PSG won 2-0 at home and away it was 1-1. Correct score prediction: PSG – Guingamp 1-1 (2-1 extra-time).
Pick: Guingamp (+1,5 handicap)
Odds: 1.78 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.24
Event date: 2 August