Raonic – Federer

Milos Raonic Roger Federer betting previewMilos Raonic and Roger Federer will meet for the 6th time in their careers tonight at Cincinnati, with a place in Sunday`s final up for grabs.

Raonic is playing the best tennis of his life this season and he was particularly impressive in the last couple of months, reaching the Wimbledon semifinals and winning Washington in dominant fashion. He also reached the quarters last week at Toronto, losing to Lopez – he could have done better but looked a little tired after Washington. Here in Cincinnati Raonic fended off a stern challenge from Steve Johnson in the 3rd round, but demolished Ginepri and Fognini in his other 2 matches. Milos shredded Fognini in a 6-1 6-0 win yesterday, but it has to be said that he had the matchup advantage on this surface and Fognini was a shadow of himself.

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After needing 3 sets to defeat Pospisil and Monfils (in a brilliant match), Federer managed to rout Andy Murray in the quarters with a solid 6-3 7-5 victory. Roger was dominant in the first set but suffered a collapse early in the second, going down 4-1 with a double break. However he was able to turn it around, proving that not only is he close to his best level right now, he`s also in a great state mentally and confident. Roger reached the final in the last 3 tournaments he played and is very motivated to win it all this time after losing to Djokovic in Wimbledon and to Tsonga in Toronto. The Swiss Maestro is starting to look more and more like his old self, and he has not played so good in a long time.

Federer leads the H2H 5-0 and it`s no secret he holds a massive matchup advantage over big servers like Raonic. He gave Milos a lesson in the Wimbledon semis, winning 6-4 6-4 6-4 and overall won all of the last 8 sets the two played. On hard the H2H is 2-0.

Listen, Raonic is in the form of his life, but his maximum level is not enough do defeat an in-form Federer yet, firstly because of the matchup. The Canadian was playing amazing tennis in Wimbledon, serving incredible, but even so he did not manage to at least reach a tiebreak against Roger. The swiss is looking really good right now and I expect him to defeat Raonic in 2 sets using his experience and the matchup and H2H advantage. The courts here at Cincinnati are very fast and it`s one of Roger`s best tournaments, the match will be played in the night session where he feels comfortable,  so I don`t see him in any kind of danger here. My tip is Federer -1,5 set handicap, much better odds than the 2,5 game handicap. Prediction: Milos Raonic – Roger Federer 6-7 4-6.

Pick: Federer (-1,5 set handicap)
Odds: 2.25 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 10
Event date: 17 August

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

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