Red Bull Salzburg hosts Malmo in the Champions League playoff first leg and both teams are in front of a historic result.
Salzburg has an amazing team which turned many heads last season … reached Europa League last 16 without losing a game, humiliated Ajax on the way, won Austrian League by miles. Salzburg is known as an all out attack team they were scoring about 3 goals per game in average last season (all competitions!!) and only improved the attack this year … brought Sabitzer and Bruno (big money transfer from Anderlecht) to play beside killer duo of Alan and Soriano. In previous UCL round they lost surprisingly 2-1 at Karabakh but recovered to win 2-0 at home. In Austrian league Salzburg won all 5 games this year with 24-1 goal difference! For sure they are the best team in the Champions League winners playoff and most entertaing as well. Team news for Salzburg say that Berisha, Vorsah and Sorensen are out of the lineup. Hinteregger and Alan are doubtful.
Salzburg lineup: Gulácsi – Schwegler, Schiemer, Ramalho, Ulmer – Kampl, Leitgeb, Ilsanker, Mané – Soriano, Sabitzer.
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Malmo produced a big surprise last round (huge in my eyes) to defeat Sparta Prague 2-0 at home after 2-4 loss away and qualify. Malmo is by far the best team in Sweden, won league last year comfortably, will do it for sure again this year (7 points advantage after 20 rounds) but I did not think swedish football is ready to compete with an in form team like Sparta Prague (similar team to Salzburg). I was wrong, Malmo qualified (had a little bit of luck, but doesn`t matter) and will have confidence they can pull off the surprise again vs. Salzburg. Team news for Malmo say that Concha and Thern are out.
Malmo lineup: Olsen – Tinnerholm, Helander, Johansson, Ricardinho – Kroon, Halsti, Forsberg; Adu – Thelin, Rosenberg
This is a game that has goals written all over it. Salzburg is a team that can put 3 goals past any decent European side and Malmo is an entertaining team as well, the 4-2 loss to Sparta Prague was a great game. Malmo coach said that his side will have some spaces to exploit and that they will surely create chances and that his objective is to score 1 goal at least. Salzburg struggled with Karabakh in the last round but I think they will improve for this bigger game. My tip will be over 3 goals … Both Teams to score is also a good bet, maybe more valuable odds, but the over is safer … is Malmo does not manage to score, there is still a decent chance for Salzburg to score 3 goals (maybe 4, who knows) and give us the money back or win the game. Since there is no higher risk of losing with over 3 goals than over 2,5 … I will bet maximum stakes. Correct score prediction: Red Bull Salzburg – Malmo FF 4-2.
Pick: over 3 goals
Odds: 1.80 @ Sbobet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 8
Event date: 19 August