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Big trap set by the bookies in my opinion, but not the usual sense of trap. This time the trap is on the underdog, because Baghdatis has odds > 3.00 and many people are backing him looking at the odds and at his results.
Current odds are correct, but results and stats are always taken into account by bookies, so Isner should be about 1.50 normally. But now they are ignoring that and they know what they are doing.
In this final, in this tournament and against Baghdatis, from players point of view, even 1.35 would be big for Isner.
Baghdatis did not play good tennis this week, it is a wonder he reached the final. Classic Baghdatis paradox, when he plays well something always goes wrong, but now with mediocre tennis he is in the final.
Baghdatis practically begged Muller to beat him in the semis. Baghdatis was so careful, playing only on the middle and defensive, but Muller collapsed after the first set, making error after error. A poor match and it was a coin toss in the end.
Isner had his fair share of problems in this tourney, in the semis lost first set against in form Kudla, but after that played like a Top 10 player and bossed the final 2 sets.
Isner is entering the final on great form, Baghdatis does not deserve to be here.
I think Baghdatis will not break Isner. One tiebreak and one break for Isner will produce a 6-4 (6-3) 7-6 win. Betting Isner 2-0 makes sense, but I stick with just the win.
Oh, and Isner leads the Head2Head 5-0, so that says a lot. Especially with big servers h2h is very important, because it shows if opponent can read their serve.
Pick: Isner
Odds: 1.45
Bookmaker:
Stake: 10 units
Tipster: Aceburner
| TIPSTER: Aceburner | Total profit: -21.01 | Tips won: 30 |
| Country: Romania | Total yield: -4.57% | Tips lost: 27 |
| Speciality: Tennis | Total picks: 58 | Tips pushed: 1 |
| 27.03 | • Coco Vandeweghe - Monica Niculescu | 2.62 | 9 | ❌ | -9 |
| 18.11 | • Stan Wawrinka - David Ferrer | 2.38 | 8 | ❌ | -8 |
| 06.10 | • Ana Ivanovic - Venus Williams | 1.91 | 9 | ❌ | -9 |
| 05.09 | • Fabio Fognini - Rafael Nadal | 1.57 | 10 | ❌ | -10 |
| 02.09 | • Milos Raonic - Fernando Verdasco | 1.75 | 8 | ✅ | +6 |
| 04.08 | • Jurgen Melzer - Daniel Gimeno-Traver | 1.81 | 7 | ❌ | -7 |
| 02.08 | • John Isner - Marcos Baghdatis | 1.45 | 10 | ✅ | +4.5 |
| 06.07 | • Timea Bacsinszky - Monica Niculescu | 1.9 | 8 | ❌ | -8 |
| 29.06 | • Dudi Sela - Dominic Thiem | 1.57 | 8 | ✅ | +4.56 |
| 29.06 | • Donald Young - Marcos Baghdatis | 2.73 | 3 | ❌ | -3 |
