Ungur – Pella

Local favorite Adrian Ungur will take on Argentina’s Guido Pella in the first round of the ATP Nastase Tiriac Trophy, held in Bucharest on red clay.

Ungur has no business being on an ATP main draw this year, but he was fortunate to get a Wildcard due to the tournament being in his home country. The Romanian is having a very poor year, winning just 2 of the 8 matches he played, despite the fact that all of them were at a low level, against players ranked outside the Top 100. He lost in two sets to Struff last week in the first round of qualifiers at Monte Carlo and is very close to falling outside of the Top 200.

Guido Pella is having a career season so far, breaking Top 50 for the first time and putting in some impressive performances. particularly a run to the final at Rio de Janeiro (lost to Cuevas) and a third round at Indian Wells (lost to Goffin). He defeated guys like Thiem, Cuevas or Isner and had chances to win against F. Lopez or Goffin. On the other hand, Pella seems to have lost some rhythm lately, exiting in the first round at his last two tournaments with 0-2 losses (Del Potro in Miami and Herbert in Monte Carlo).

Bet on Adrian Ungur vs. Guido Pella with the highest tennis odds at 1xBet.com now!

The Head 2 Head is 2-1 for Pella (who won the last two), all three matches being extremely competitive, dramatic even. However, Pella is a different player this year, while Ungur seems to be at a low point in his career. Both players like the red clay in Bucharest.

Pella’s short term form is not too good, but I consider him one of the main favorites to win this tournament if he regains the level he showed most of this year. Even if not at his best, the Argentinean is in a whole different league than Ungur right now and I expect him to win this match rather easily.

For me, the question is whether to choose a 4 game handicap on Pella or a 2-0 win. I will go with the first option, due to Ungur being an offensive risk taker. At home, it`s not impossible for him to play his best tennis for a set, snatch a close one and then lose heavily in the other two. Odds are also a bit better.

Based on all the above, my tip here is Guido Pella to win this match with a 4 game handicap. Prediction: Adrian Ungur – Gudo Pella 5-7 2-6.

Pick: Pella -4
Odds: 2.00 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 8
Event date: 18 April