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Aerostar Bacau will meet Dinamo Bucharest in the Romanian Cup Round of 32, with the match set to be played on neutral ground in Piatra Neamt.
Aerostar is a nice little team competing in the Romanian third league, where they are currently on the first place in their regional series after 9 rounds. However, 5 wins and 4 draws isn`t a particularly impressive record considering that the level in the third league is barely professional. The teams which are any good usually win almost all their matches in this division, but that isn`t the case for Aerostar, which has one win and two draws in the last 3 matches.
Dinamo is on the back of a 0-0 draw at Botosani in the Liga 1 and the Red Dogs had a good display in that match, but the result wasn`t great – especially as Dinamo had an extra man for 20 minutes or so. The Red Dogs have been in poor form over the last couple of months and are just 7th in the league, so the Romanian Cup seems to be their only chance to challenge for a trophy this season.
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Aerostar will field their best available lineup here as it`s a unique chance for them to compete with one of the biggest clubs in Romania. Dinamo will use rotation, but all their best players traveled to Piatra Neamt and the starting lineup is expected to be very competitive, a mix of regular starters and substitutes.
Aerostar Bacau: Haraguta- Honea, Mihalachioae, Mihaes, Oanea – Istrate, Ichim, Chirila, Artenie – Vraciu, Tudorache
Dinamo Bucharest: Branescu – Nica, Dudea, Nedelcearu, Oliva – Serban, Nascimento, Filip – Costache, Bokila, Rivaldinho
The match will be played on neutral ground in Piatra Neamt and Dinamo didn`t even have to travel much, as they played in Botosani over the weekend and only had to make a short 120km trip – traveling directly to Piatra Neamt and already training on the official pitch. The neutral venue and Dinamo not having a long travel are key factors which should decrease the possibility of an upset.
The difference between divisions in Romania is huge, and teams from Liga 3 have little to no chance of competing against Liga 1 or even Liga 2 opposition. The Romanian Cup has never been a competition of surprises, and Aerostar really doesn`t stand a chance here aside from a miracle.
Dinamo will look for a convincing win to get their confidence back on track after recent results have not gone their way, and the players who are pushing for a regular starting lineup spot will try to prove their worth, so I expect plenty of focus for the visitors to win by as many goals as they can.
I`m not sure how much the bookies took into account the neutral ground and Dinamo not having to travel, because I see no reason for the Red Dogs to be priced above 1.10 – 1.15 against such poor opposition.
I think it`s fair to expect Dinamo to win this convincingly, particularly as they should field a strong lineup, and my tip will be for the Red Dogs to cover the 1,5 goal handicap.
Most bookies have odds around 1.55 – 1.60 for this bet, which is a perfectly fine price, but there are a couple of operators offering odds around 1.80 (Marathonbet, 1xBet, Betfair), which are crazy good. I expect odds to drop below 1.50, so I think taking the bet as early as possible is a good idea. Prediction: Aerostar Bacau – Dinamo Bucharest 0-4.
Pick: Dinamo -1,5
Odds: 1.80 @ 1xBet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.40
Event date: 26 October
