Ajax – Copenhagen

FC Copenhagen will look to protect a 2-1 first leg advantage when they travel to Amsterdam in the Europa League round of Last 16.

Ajax will feel they could have gotten more than a 2-1 defeat in the first leg, as they played a really good game and some might even argue they were the better team. Nevertheless, the result gives Ajax a chance in the reverse leg and the hosts will feel confident, as they have been in excellent form lately. Ajax is on the back of a 3-0 win over Twente, their 9th victory in 12 matches in 2017, including a 1-0 aggregate win over Legia Wardaw in the previous Europa League round.

Copenhagen is in the midst of a terrific season, dominating the Danish league and almost qualifying to the Champions League KO stage last winter. The visitors lost a single game in all competitions this season and are riding a 4 match winning streak. They defeated Ludogorets in the previous round, 0-0 at home and 2-1 away.

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The first leg was a pretty entertaining affair and Copenhagen was a bit lucky to come out with the win. Ajax was the team that dominated possession, but one of the reasons for that is that they fell behind early.

One might expect Ajax to build on the first leg performance and dominate the reverse leg, but Copenhagen is such a good, disciplined team, so the hosts will definitely have a tough time getting a hold of the game without being exposed on the break.

The Danish side lost a single game all year in all competitions and that was an unlucky 0-1 defeat at Leicester City. Ajax is definitely a good team in good form, but Copenhagen’s consistency and the first leg result make them solid favorites to go trough as far as I`m concerned. Odds for that to happen seem really tasty.

For all of Ajax’s qualities, it`s difficult to see them win this by 2 goals against a team that is so hard to beat. A 1-0 victory is their best chance to qualify, but the last time Copenhagen failed to score on the road was back in October 2016!

My tip is Copenhagen to qualify and I trust my analysis enough to invest moderately high stakes on the bet. Prediction: Ajax Amsterdam – FC Copenhagen 1-1.

Pick: Copenhagen to qualify
Odds: 1.87 @ Sbobet
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 6.09
Event date: 16 March