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Eredivisie football this Thursday when Ajax will hope to record an important win against Groningen at Amsterdam Arena.
Ajax leads the league right now and has a great chance to put some distance between them and Vitesse – with Vitesse in very bad form and losing points, including this round. Ajax has 2 points over Vitesse (and 1 game in hand) and 4 points over Twente (but one extra-game played). Four days ago Ajax saw an impressive 8 games winning streak in Eredivisie stopped when they drew 1-1 at Utrecht but it was a tough road game and overall the home team is in fantastic form. Cillessen and Boilesen are the only missing players for Ajax ahead of this game with Groningen.
Ajax lineup: Vermeer – Rhijn, Veltman, Moisander, Blind – Klaassen, Poulse, Serero – Schone, Jong, Fischer
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Groningen (8th place) is not a bad team for sure and they are well in the race to finish in the playoff for european competitions zone. But Groningen has always had a big problem and this season is no different – they play poor on the road. This season Groningen is 2-4-5 away from home – only 4 teams have less road wins. Groningen is also not in the best form – only one win in the last 7 Eredivisie games and 3 losses in the last 5. Groningen lost last round 2-0 at Alkmaar. The team was also bad in the winter friendlies losing both games and if you add the Dutch Cup, Groningen has 1 win, 1 draw and 6 losses in the last 8 matches, so worrying form. Groningen will miss Bos, van der Velden and Bakker.
Groningen lineup: Bizot – Magnasco, Kappelhof, Botteghin, Wijnaldum – Adorjan, Kieftenbeld, Hiariej – Chery, Leeuw, Kostic
Ajax is the better team, is very motivated to gain some points and meets a decent opponent but in bad form and very poor on the road. Ajax is 8-1-1 at home to the Amserdam side should be able to make use of the home advantage and get a solid win over Groningen. Everything favors Ajax – quality, venue, form, motivation even the health of the team. My bet will be Ajax to cover the handicap – what worries me a little bit is that in the last 5 Eredivisie games Ajax did not win by more than 1 goal. But they only played 1 home game and that was against PSV. Prior to this, Ajax won often by big margins especially at home so against out of form and road-struggling Groningen I reckon with big confidence that Ajax will be able to win by 2 or 3. My tip is Ajax -1,5 handicap. Correct score prediction would be Ajax Amsterdam – FC Groningen 2-0.
Pick: Ajax (-1,5)
Odds: 1.70 @ Sbobet
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 6.30
Event date: 6 February
