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Ajax hosts Legia in Amsterdam in the first leg of this Europa League Round 16 clash.
The hosts have finished 3rd ahead of APOEL in the Champions League, as expected and get the chance to compete in the second tier European competition. However, last year they were absolutely blown out by Salzburg in the same stage and they meet a similar opponent, Legia Warsaw. The hosts are on a two game winning streak in Netherlands and are second in the standings but the title is virtually lost, so for sure they will be focused to do some damage in the Europa League.
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Legia did a great job in European competitions this year … they hammered Celtic and probably would have reached the group stages but were disqualified. They picked it up where they left off in the Europa League, qualifying from the first place in a group with Lokere, Trabzonspor and Metalist Kharkov (winning 5 of 6 games). The Polish side played only two competitive games in 2015 and did not win any of them, but this statistic is misleading – they finished 1-1 away in the Cup with a very strong Slask team (2nd in the league) and lost in the weekend to Jagiellonia (3rd in the league) … two strong opponents and Legia was clearly thinking ahead to this game vs. Ajax.
The Dutch side did reasonably well this season in the Champions League, but generally underperformed in Europe lately, especially the Europa League. Legia has a very strong team this year, they proved themselves in Europe against teams of Ajax’s caliber and for them Europa League is a huge objective, like for every team coming from countries like Poland. I can see Legia’s excellent counterattacking game causing problems to Ajax, the Dutch team does not like to meet sides with Legia’s particular qualities and this is a big reason for my bet … at the worst I see Legia losing a close one … but my belief is that they will get a positive result. My tip will be Legia +0,75 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Ajax Amsterdam – Legia Warsaw 1-1.
Pick: Legia Warsaw (+0,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.72 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 5.6
Event date: 19 February
The Polish league is inferior to the Eredivisie. Ajax has had to face several strong teams. Moreover, Legia is back after a winter break. They have faced weak teams to reach this stage. It will be misleading to say that they are strong contenders when they have Ajax as opponents, a team which has a great history. The match is held in Amsterdam and Legia are the visitors. Ajax is 2nd in the Eredivisie, meaning that they are having a good season. A $200 bet on Ajax on bet365 will reap a return of $410 (21/20). My advice to you is to wager on Ajax since you have a strong chance to double your investment.
Betmaru, I agree with some things that you said and respect everything you said. You brought facts, so that is always welcome.
But I have a problem with the “misleading” part. I hope you did not mean it that way. My tips can be judged and countered, but I am NEVER misleading anyone .. just presenting facts, like you did + personal opionion.