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Last match in Round 29 in La Liga will see European hopefuls Real Sociedad travel to take on the relegation struggling Almeria at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos.
Almeria is on the 19 place in the table but just 2 points away from safety and with a game in hand, so they have everything to fight for. But their form is not too encouraging: Almeria lost 3-1 at Rayo Valecano last round, and that was their 3rd consecutive loss, amassing a goal difference of 10-3 in that timespan. Overall Almeria has just 1 point in the last 5 league games. The bright side for Almeria is that team news are very good for them today: only Rodri missing, and Oliveira is questionable.
Almeria lineup: Esteban – Rafita, Trujillo, Torsiglieri, Dubarbier – Verza, Corona – Suso, Azeez, Vidal – Zongo
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Real Sociedad ended a 2 match losing streak when they beat Valencia 1-0 in the last round. The visitors would move up to the 5th place with a win today and would keep their Champions League dreams alive, while consolidating an Europa League spot. Sociedad has not been the best away team this season with 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses on the road, but they usually beat the bottom of the table teams and lost only to very good opposition. Team news for Sociedad say that Granero, Estrada, Ansotegi and Angel will miss the game.
Real Sociedad lineup: Bravo – Zaldua, M. Gonzalez, I. Martinez, de la Bella – Bergara, Zurutuza – Vela, Xabi Prieto, Griezmann – Agirretxe
I think Real Sociedad has better chances than the odds suggest to escape with a win in this game. Even if they are not a great road team, they are decent and playing a very poor opponent. Almeria is in horrible form and I expect Sociedad to get a narrow win, just like they did in the second to last away game, when they beat Malaga 1-0. The quality difference will count a lot of, course, but I am also counting on Sociedad`s top class offense to do some damage against a team that allowed 10 goals in the last 3 games and has the 3rd worst defence in the league. My tip is Real Sociedad to win. Correct score prediction would be something like Almeria – Real Sociedad 1-2. Odds are dropping on this bet.
Pick: Real Sociedad
Odds: 2.20 @ Ladbrokes
Stake: 7
Possible profit: 8.40
Event date: 24 March
