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Amkar Perm hosts Dynamo Moscow in the last match of the 25th round of the Russian Premier League.
This will be the fourth consecutive game played at home for Amkar Perm and the relegation strugglers did extremely well in the last three … winning two and losing one, including a 1-0 win over CSKA Moscow. THey lost however the most important one, vs. relegation rivals Tula. The surprising wins allowed them to climb from a very deep hole and gave them new found hope to avoid relegation … Amkar is now tied in points with Torpedo for the last place and 3 points behind Arsenal Tula and Ural … who all have one extra game played. The objective for Amkar Perm now is to go over Tula and / or Ural, who are on the playout positions … but also there is a chance to catch Ufa, who only has 5 points in front.
For this game Amkar Perm will not have reserve keeper Khomich (injured) and key midfielder Ogude (suspended) in the lineup.
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Dynamo Moscow will tie rivals CSKA for the 3rd place in the Russian Premier League with a win today … while also going 5 points clear of Spartak in the fight for an Europa League qualifying spot. Visitors have made a habit to lose only against top teams this season and lesser opponents had no chance to defeat Dynamo, but on the other hand draws have been a problem. Dynamo has 3 draws and 2 wins in the last 5 matches. Zhirkov and Denisov are out of the lineups for Dinamo, Kuranyi is questionable.
Amkar looks to be in good form but hosts might begin to tire after the latest efforts … where they gave it their all against teams like CSKA, Terek or Arsenal Tula … and the schedule will not get any easier. Their win over CSKA was followed by an abysmal performance vs. Arsenal Tula, proving they can not play two good games in a row and now the win over Terek could be followed again by a disappointing performance.
Dinamo needs the points as much as Amkar needs them and I think they have this one covered. Visitors are very effective against small teams and after 2 consecutive draws they are due a win … they outplayed Amkar big time for a 5-0 win in December and I expect them to grab the 3 points again. The gap in class is too big so my tip will be Dynamo Moscow to win. Correct score prediction: Amkar Perm – Dynamo Moscow 1-2.
Pick: Dynamo Moscow
Odds: 1.85 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 9
Possible profit: 7.65
Event date: 30 April
