Arsenal – Hull City

Arsene Wenger FA Cup trophy

Arsenal will take on Hull City in the FA Cup round of last 16, as the two time reigning champions continue to chase a historic treble in the competition.

Arsenal went trough a tough patch of matches in January, but the Gunners bounced back at the right time to claim two consecutive wins – 2-0 on the road against Bournemouth and a massive 2-1 victory at home against Leicester. It has to be said that the Gunners did not deserve to win against the Foxes last weekend. Leaving aside the lucky 95th minute winning goal, the fact is that Leicester was leading 1-0 and looking good value to win until they had to play with 10 men in the last 30 minutes or so. However, the victory is sure to give Arsenal a huge morale boost and knowing this team, it wouldn’t be shocking if they start to go on a run.

Championship leaders Hull City are involved in a tight fight to achieve direct promotion, with the top 4 teams being separated by only 4 points. For this reason Hull City will likely rest a number of key players here. In Steve Bruce’s words, “all of the ones (players) who haven’t been playing recently will play on Saturday”. Hull is on the back of a 0-0 home draw against Brighton and they also lost their first match in 2016 three rounds ago against in form Burnley.

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Team news & lineups:

Aside from Gabriel, who is out, Arsenal only has to worry about the long term injuries of Wilshere, Cazorla or Rosicky. While Wenger will rest a few regulars, he`s expected to field a strong lineup, as he himself said. Hull on the other hand will use a heavier rotation. Their best players might be left out, including Abel Hernandez, Dawson or Livermore. Also, Akpom and Hayden are not eligible to face their parent club, Arsenal

Arsenal: Ospina – Bellerin, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Gibbs – Chambers, Elneny – Walcott, Ozil, Campbell – Welbeck

Hull City: Jakupovic – Tayolor, Bruce, Davies, Robertson – Aluko, Meyler, Maguire, El Mohamady – Diame, Diomande

The bookies opened with odds of about 1.35 for Arsenal, they went as high as 1.65 and are now dropping again. Considering the probability that Hull will field a weakened lineup, I can easily see the price going under 1.50.

Listen, Arsenal will rest some players too, but despite having a game against Barcelona coming up, they are expected to field more first choice guys than Hull – and obviously they have much more depth. A team like Arsenal will always be less affected by rotation than a weaker side like Hull, which doesn`t have so many top options on the bench. Arsene Wenger: “I will, as always, play a team who has a good chance to qualify. The normal squad is involved on Saturday. It is a normal squad and we’ll play a usual strong team.”

Arsenal is playing well right now, they are high on morale and definitely motivated to win the FA Cup for a third time, so they will treat this game with full focus. Hull is a very good side, but if Steve Bruce isn`t lying and will indeed rest his key players, they will not be the same team that is leading the Championship. Considering the expected heavy rotation that Hull will use, a bet on Arsenal is pretty much a no brainer. My tip is Arsenal to win and I think maximum stakes are justified. Prediction: Arsenal – Hull City 2-0.

Pick: Arsenal
Odds: 1.56 @ 1xBet
Stake: 10
Possible profit: 5.60
Event date: 20 February

About Rostick

Born in '88. Running betting tips websites since 2007. Launched Betdistrict in 2013. Worked as a bookie for a year to spy on the other side. Rugby Union and NBA expert. Editor info & statistics.

8 comments

  1. at 1xBet Arsenal has 1,37

    • Not sure if this is an accusation but people might interpret it at one, so:
       
      Pick was initially posted yesterday at 18:15 GMT+2 (there`s proof of that if you want it, just check our twitter account) and re-published later at 00:01 GMT+2, so it could appear as a pick for today.
       
      Check the post time above, under the pick title, it`s 00:01 GMT+2. Now check what the odds were in this image, with the same GMT+2 time standard: http://imgur.com/RdVWt1y
       
      You can see odds were 1.56 when the pick was initially published. That`s the time that counts. Coincidentally, odds were also 1.56 when the tip was re-published.
       
      The odds simply dropped, as predicted, due to Hull`s team news. The whole point of my tip was to inform people about Hull`s team news, predicting odds will drop.
       
      Let me know if this does not settle your inquiry, because obviously I don`t want my integrity questioned.

  2. it is not an acusation and it s true what you are saying . I think i should have written that the odds are dropping to 1,37 .

  3. do you have any ideea whi the odds from gladbach win are up from 1,65 to 2,15. ido they have problems?

    • There isn`t anything of this sort. Just one new injury reported. I think it`s just a case of bookies opening with very low odds weeks ago and since then things changed. Koln is a very good team in very good form, while Gladbach struggled since the odds first came out two weeks ago. It`s not like the odds changed in a day. Maybe a little bit of “herd instinct” as well. It`s also a massive derby.

  4. Honestly man and no disrespect you don t have that stoff that a tipster need to make the difrence.not be able to win shetty odds like this at maximum stakes have no excuses.sadly it happened more then seceral times.i don t now what you did in the past bust in the last 2 or 3 years on this site you really disapointed.i ve folowed you because i thought that you are someone to watch.i was wrong.it s not like you are clueless but you are average.i won t lose money anymore on your hand. Good luck in the future

    • I appreciate your respectful message, particularly after such a loss.
       
      Well mate, thanks for following me and giving me a vote of confidence all these years. I am sorry you lost money with me. As seen in the stats I don`t have a negative balance, but it`s not too much on the green either, it`s virtually zero, so obviously that`s not good.
       
      I can agree with you, a good tipster shouldn`t be on 0,1% yield in 3 years. Unfortunately I struggled to make up for a horrible first year, I finally did it in the last few months, but so far in 2016 I did not continue the trend. I consider myself a tipster which is able to provide accurate, important information and that`s what I value the most. I agree, there are definitely better tipsters in terms of profit.
       
      As for this match, I may sound arrogant and clueless, but I would bet it again in a second. I provided correct information, Hull rested its best players, they were almost depleted. Odds dropped big time, as predicted, so it was a good preview. Nothing is guaranteed and unfortunately this bet was lost, but the preview was accurate. And, in all honesty, Arsenal was unlucky and Jakupovic had a monster game.
       
      I can only wish you all the best in the future and hopefully you will stick around. Even if you gave up on me, we have many good tipsters. As for me, my results in the second part of 2015 give me confidence, but I have to back them up, not just talk.

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