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Champions League decider between AS Roma and Manchester City at Olimpico
In the weekend, Roma struggled vs Sassuolo, coming from 2-0 down to finish 2-2 in a match with a red card, a penalty and some very intense football. In the end, Roma showed character, and they will again need to show character tonight, vs Manchester City.
This is the “final” of the group. AS Roma has paid the lack of experience in this group, getting 0 points against Bayern and losing 2 points to CSKA in Moscow, in the last round, with a last minute equalizer. Unlucky, because if they would have won in Moscow now they would be able to get any draw vs City and qualify. But since they failed to win then, Roma must win or play a 0-0 today, vs City. There is good news however for AS Roma, the good news being that Manchester City’s best player, Sergio Aguero, is slighlty injured and he will surely miss this game.
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Manchester City comes after 2 good matches, winning 4-1 at Sunderland and 1-0 at home vs Everton. They moved closer to Chelsea after the blues lost to Newcastle. Manchester City has played slightly better in the recent 2 weeks, but form does not matter so much in this kind of game, it’s all about the tactics. Also very important are the team news with the absence of Yaya Toure. With David Silva and Aguero also out this really is a horrible news for City.
Roma has very strong flanks. I think that Florenzi and Holebas on the flanks are 2 times better than Clichy and Zabaleta. I think that home advantage, the tactics know-how of Rudi Garcia and City’s team news with Aguero’s absence will determine who qualifies, and i think it will be Roma.
My tip for the match is Roma Asian Handicap 0, 8 units stake on the prediction, odds of 1.79 at Pinnacle on this bet.
Pick: AS Roma (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.79 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.32
Event date: 10 December
