Barcelona – PSG

Barcelona meets Paris Saint Germain in the most anticipated match in this final day of the Champions League group stages, maybe only Roma against Man City is more interesting.

Barcelona need to win so they clinch #1 place in the group. This is an important aspect if they want to avoid playing Bayern, Chelsea etc.. Barcelona this year has seemed to improve game by game. From the beginning Luis Enrique’s plan was pretty clear. Impose that high-pressing in the opponent’s half that made Pep Guardiola’s Barcelona win so many trophies. He succeeded in that. However the players themselves did not improve and he has no alternatives in defense. Pique is very poor. Look at the goal scored by Espanyol this weekend to understand why. Also Busquets makes more mistakes this season than he did in previous seasons.

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The second thing Luis Enrique did was make Messi play more close to the opponent’s 16 yard box. He managed to do this only after Luis Suarez recovered. Why? Because Luis Suarez is very good that he drags defenders with him when he makes a run and more space remains available for Messi. Also Suarez, unlike Pedro, plays much close to the goal (the target) and so defenders have no choice but to stay with him. Pedro instead always came in midfield, and Barca had problems to open the game.

PSG are playing exactly the same football as last season. They need just a draw to clinch first spot. Their 3-2 win over Barcelona in the first game played between these sides was a remarkable achievement, considering that Thiago Silva and Ibra did not play then. Ibra will surely play today. PSG have no major injury concerns.

The battle will be in midfield. Although both teams have plenty of attacking talent, i do not expect a lot of goals, because this match is very important. I expect under 3.25 goals to be scored, and i will place 8 units on this on the under/over market. Odds of 1.77 at Pinny for the tips. Good Luck!

Pick: under 3,25 goals
Odds: 1.77 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.16
Event date: 10 December