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Bayer Leverkusen takes on FC Kaiserslautern in a one legged tie in the DFB Pokal Round 16.
Leverkusen is going trough a really good moment right now, winning two consecutive games against Atletico Madrid and Freiburg – both times 1-0. The defense has been outstanding in this past week, which is a surprise considering that Bayer was leaking goals like crazy just a couple of weeks ago. The Cup is obviously the least important objective for Leverkusen, but expect them to be 100% focused and motivated, especially considering they will not play Bundesliga football on Saturday but on Sunday – and the opponent, Paderborn, is not too scary.
Kaiserslautern won 3 of their 4 games this year, including 2-1 last round against Furth, putting themselves in a solid position to play Bundesliga football next season. ‘Lautern is currently 3rd in the standings, which is a playoff spot, but they are tied with Darmstadt for second. The visitors however have been a disaster on the road, winning just 2 out of their 11 matches away from home.
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Team news: Leverkusen might choose to shuffle the lineup just a bit, but there will be no major changes and overall we should see mostly the best available lineup take the pitch. Bender and Son are important missings. Kaiserlautern will miss Heintz.
We all know Cup games can have an extra degree of risk, but the odds are also adapted accordingly. I feel that 1.50 is a bit too high for Leverkusen today and the hosts should do well to win this, possibly by a form of handicap. Leverkusen is focused for this game, they will field a strong lineup and are in very good form. Kaiserlautern are a decent side but they play differently on the road, hardly looking like a promotion contender. Pick Leverkusen to make use of its home court advantage as well as their superior quality and qualify for the next round of the DFB Pokal without too many problems.
My tip is Leverkusen to win and cover the 1 goal asian handicap. Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen – Kaiserlautern 2-0.
Pick: Leverkusen (-1 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.75 @ Sbobet
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6
Event date: 3 March
