On-fire Bayer Leverkusen hosts Werder Bremen in Round 3 of the German Bundesliga. Analysis below.
Leverkusen won 2-0 at Dortmund and 4-2 vs. Hertha Berlin in the first two rounds, playing some incredible attacking football. They also won 3-2 and 4-0 vs. Copenhagen in the Champions league playoffs and 6-0 in a cup game. So 5 games, 5 impressive wins for Bayer … scoring goals at will and looking invincible even if they lost Emre Can in the summer transfer window. They scored at least 2 goals in each of the last 7 Bundesliga games. Rolfes and Brandt will not be in the lineup for Leverkusen today.
Bayer Leverkusen lineup: Leno – Jedvaj, Toprak, Spahic, Boenisch – Bellarabi, Castro, Reinartz, Son – Calhanoglu – Kiessling
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Werder managed 2 draws in the first 2 rounds vs. Hertha (2-2 away) and Hoffenheim (1-1 home). While they don’t have the same status as a couple of years ago, Werder is still a good team and can play good football, especially on offense just like Leverkusen. They proved they can get results against top teams, beating Chelsea 3-0 in a friendly last month, beating Leverkusen 1-0 (at home) last season. Werder misses Gebre Selassie, Bargfrede and Yildirim.
Werder Bremen lineup: Wolf – Fritz, Prodl, Lukimya, Garcia – Hajrovic, Galvez, Junuzovic, Elia – Di Santo, Petersen
Last season Leverkusen won 2-1 at home (just a couple of months ago) and even if the home team is in amazing form I think the game will not be easy. Leverkusen is a solid team but can`t keep this level of amazing football forever and 1.30 is a very low odds for their win. My analysis says that this will be an entertaining game but Werder has a decent chance to challenge Leverkusen and I think a 1 goal handicap on the visitors can be a safe tip. Over 2,5 goals looks good to happen, but the odds are way too low. My tips is Werder to cover the 1,75 goal handicap, we get half the stakes back if Bayer wins by 2, and it looks a safe pick to me. Correct score prediction: Bayer Leverkusen – Werder Bremen 2-1.
Pick: Werder Bremen (+1,75 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.85 @ Pinnacle
Stake: 8
Possible profit: 6.8
Event date: 12 September
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